| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saints @ Rams | Saints ρ=1.4748 | Saints* δ=27.7 | Saints -15½ |
| Browns @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.3864 | 49ers δ=23.4 | 49ers -9 |
| Cardinals @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.3149 | Ravens δ=18.4 | Ravens -13 |
| Lions @ Broncos | Lions ρ=1.2055 | Lions* δ=16.5 | Lions -3½ |
| Redskins @ Bills | Bills ρ=1.2044 | Bills δ=9.7 | Bills -6 |
| Patriots @ Steelers | Patriots ρ=1.1733 | Patriots* δ=8.3 | Patriots -2½ |
| Colts @ Titans | Titans ρ=1.1705 | Titans δ=11.8 | Titans -9 |
| Dolphins @ Giants | Giants ρ=1.1700 | Giants δ=5.6 | Giants -10 |
| Bengals @ Seahawks | Bengals ρ=1.1645 | Bengals* δ=7.6 | Bengals -2½ |
| Jaguars @ Texans | Texans ρ=1.1293 | Texans δ=10.4 | Texans -9½ |
| Cowboys @ Eagles | Cowboys ρ=1.0809 | Cowboys* δ=6.6 | Eagles -3½ |
| Chargers @ Chiefs | Chargers ρ=1.0424 | Chargers* δ=7.1 | Chargers -3 |
| Vikings @ Panthers | Vikings* ρ=1.0008 | Panthers δ=2.9 | Panthers -3 |
Bye: Falcons, Bears, Packers, Jets, Raiders, Buccaneers
Comments:
Only two split picks this week, including the Rookie vs. Rookie matchup of Vikings @ Panthers. I've got to agree with the Line on this one—Cam Newton, with more experience as a starter, playing at home, should have the advantage.
On the other hand, if the Cowboys are underrated right now, this is a game they need to win. The Eagles have given up more turnovers than any other team in the league (17), and the Cowboys aren't that far behind (13), so like most games for these two teams, the outcome will be determined by who takes better care of the ball.
Four years ago, the Lions got off to a 6-2 start, before spiraling into an epic 5-33 losing streak that stretched over four seasons. Their last win on that 6-2 start was a dominating game over the Denver Broncos. Now, they need to beat the Broncos again to avoid a 3-game losing streak that, while much shorter, could seem just as disasterous to a team that is still trying to establish its confidence.
Bengals are another team facing a tough road game, and one that should give us some idea of how good they are. Even as bad as the Seahawks have been on the road, they've been a tough team to beat at home.
