Friday, November 4, 2011

NFL Q2 Strength of Schedule

APR's second quarter strength of schedule results, as computed using week 8's power index values. Both the strength of schedule for unplayed (on the left) and played (on the right) games is presented.

As usual, a higher value indicates tougher opponents, and therefore a harder schedule. Teams are ranked from hardest schedule (#1) to easiest (#32).

RankTeamSOS
unplayed
RankSOS
played
1Giants0.9712320.8469
2Chargers0.9541220.8804
3Dolphins0.9535200.8975
4Lions0.9512100.9238
5Vikings0.948090.9246
6Broncos0.935970.9329
7Packers0.9299240.8762
8Bears0.921420.9486
9Buccaneers0.916860.9348
10Jets0.9150190.9043
11Browns0.9145280.8692
12Chiefs0.9144180.9103
13Colts0.9126140.9170
14Saints0.9123260.8749
15Panthers0.9113160.9134
16Raiders0.9111120.9206
17Titans0.9068290.8681
18Redskins0.9067230.8801
19Steelers0.9066250.8760
20Bengals0.8986310.8662
21Cardinals0.8961210.8851
22Rams0.895710.9529
23Seahawks0.8911130.9185
24Ravens0.8904300.8679
25Falcons0.876440.9377
26Eagles0.8761110.9215
27Bills0.872380.9302
28Cowboys0.869230.9397
29Patriots0.8667170.9129
30Texans0.8622270.8735
31Jaguars0.853650.9354
3249ers0.8432150.9153

Comments:

  • If this is anything close to reality, the Giants are going to have a tough time hanging on to first place in the NFC East. They have a double-whammy of a very tough schedule remaining, along with two division opponents (the Eagles and Cowboys) with very easy remaining schedules.

  • Yeah, things are looking pretty grim for the Dolphins right now. Their best chance to avoid 0-16 will come a week from Sunday when they face the "Beck or Grossman?" Redskins.

  • Every team remaining on the Packers' schedule has a winning record except for the Vikings. On the other hand, the Lions and Giants are the only teams better than 4-3, so it's not that bad.

  • The NFL seems to have back-loaded a lot of divisional games. The 49ers have only played one so far, which means more than half of their remaining games will be against the NFC West teams that are a combined 4-17.

  • The AFC East could actually come down to the wire in a race between the Bills and Patriots. They don't play their rematch game until week 17.