Update: somehow I missed a line for Patriots @ Eagles. Now added.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers @ Chiefs | Steelers ρ=1.2827 | Steelers* δ=17.8 | Steelers -10½ |
| Browns @ Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.2107 | Bengals δ=9.3 | Bengals -7 |
| Texans @ Jaguars | Texans ρ=1.1806 | Texans* δ=13.9 | Texans -3 |
| Vikings @ Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.1489 | Falcons δ=9.6 | Falcons -9½ |
| Bears @ Raiders | Bears ρ=1.1403 | Bears* δ=12.5 | Raiders -4½ |
| Panthers @ Colts | Panthers ρ=1.1284 | Panthers* δ=13.0 | Panthers -3½ |
| Packers @ Lions | Packers ρ=1.1163 | Packers* δ=3.6 | Packers -6 |
| Redskins @ Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.1136 | Seahawks δ=1.4 | Seahawks -3½ |
| Patriots @ Eagles | Patriots ρ=1.1100 | Patriots* δ=5.2 | Patriots -3 |
| Dolphins @ Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.1040 | Cowboys δ=6.0 | Cowboys -7 |
| Giants @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.0935 | Saints δ=7.3 | Saints -7 |
| Cardinals @ Rams | Cardinals ρ=1.0836 | Cardinals* δ=6.2 | Rams -3 |
| Bills @ Jets | Jets ρ=1.0642 | Jets δ=3.9 | Jets -8 |
| Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos ρ=1.0588 | Chargers δ=0.8 | Chargers -7 |
| Buccaneers @ Titans | Titans* ρ=1.0513 | Titans δ=4.1 | Titans -3 |
| 49ers @ Ravens | 49ers* ρ=1.0214 | 49ers* δ=2.8 | Ravens -3 |
Comments:
I wonder if NBC regrets not flexing Steelers @ Chiefs? There's not a lot of alternate choices, but this has real potential to be another blow-out snoozer.
CBS Sports has a nice "if the season ended today" playoff ranking. The Packers and 49ers can both clinch a playoff spot this week with a win and help.
The AFC race is really tight. There are 10 teams with 5, 6, or 7 wins right now. Nobody's spot on that list is anywhere near safe just yet.
If the Texans beat the struggling Jaguars and Colts, they will have the tie-breaker over the currently 2nd-place Titans. That will also get them to 9 wins, which could easily be all it takes to finish ahead of the Titans.
