| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens @ Chiefs | Ravens ρ=1.6204 | Ravens* δ=26.1 | Ravens -4½ |
| Texans @ Jets | Texans ρ=1.3446 | Texans* δ=23.0 | Texans -9 |
| Bills @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.3297 | 49ers δ=17.0 | 49ers -9½ |
| Seahawks @ Panthers | Seahawks ρ=1.3102 | Seahawks* δ=15.0 | Panthers -2½ |
| Titans @ Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.3059 | Vikings δ=15.1 | Vikings -5½ |
| Cardinals @ Rams | Cardinals ρ=1.2782 | Cardinals* δ=14.1 | Cardinals -1½ |
| Bears @ Jaguars | Bears ρ=1.2639 | Bears* δ=14.4 | Bears -5½ |
| Chargers @ Saints | Chargers ρ=1.2339 | Chargers* δ=8.7 | Saints -3½ |
| Falcons @ Redskins | Falcons ρ=1.1895 | Falcons* δ=13.4 | Falcons -2½ |
| Browns @ Giants | Giants* ρ=1.1319 | Giants δ=8.6 | Giants -10 |
| Packers @ Colts | Packers ρ=1.0884 | Packers* δ=9.4 | Packers -7 |
| Dolphins @ Bengals | Bengals* ρ=1.0680 | Dolphins* δ=3.7 | Bengals -4 |
| Eagles @ Steelers | Eagles* ρ=1.0367 | Eagles* δ=1.6 | Steelers -3 |
| Broncos @ Patriots | Patriots* ρ=1.0195 | Broncos* δ=0.1 | Patriots -7 |
Bye: Buccaneers, Lions, Cowboys, Raiders
Comments:
Ravens -4½ sure doesn't seem like much of a line. Except for their OT win at the Saints, the Chiefs have been losing by at least 16 points.
The Jets need to come out fighting if they want to save their season. But the Texans are so much better right now, I'm not sure how much difference they can make.
Why is the Line taking the Saints? Sure, they looked at least a little better last Sunday, but their defense is still awful.
The Jets are the only team the Steelers have held under 30 points so far. I think the Eagles will be able to keep that streak going.
SRS makes an interesting rogue pick of the Dolphins over the Bengals. The Dolphins did take the Jets and Cardinals to overtime; they could easily be 3-1 right now...
