Tuesday, October 30, 2012

NFL Week 8 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (6-2)


Giants @ Cowboys
Patriots "@" Rams (London)
49ers @ Cardinals
Jaguars @ Packers
Panthers @ Bears
Saints @ Broncos


Buccaneers @ Vikings
A combination of bad punts and turnovers gave the Buccaneers a succession of short fields. And the Vikings complete inability to stop rookie running back Doug Martin meant that the Buccaneers were mostly able to convert those short fields into points. And while Adrian Peterson had a good day running the ball, too many of the Vikings' drives ended with punts or turnovers.
Chargers @ Browns
The Chargers have one of the worst offenses in the league this year. In this game, they only had two drives longer than 44 yards. The result was 6 punts, 2 turnovers on downs, and a lost fumble.

Split Picks: (APR: 5-1, SRS: 4-2, Line: 2-4)

A very nice week for APR, 4-1 picking against the Line

Falcons (APR, SRS) @ Eagles (Line)
The post-game focus has been on Michael Vick's performance and whether the Eagles should switch to rookie QB Nick Foles. But Vick had a decent game here (191 yards passing, 42 yards rushing, 1 touchdown, and no turnovers). The Eagles' real problem (at least in this game) was their defense was utterly unable to stop the Falcons. Matt Ryan threw for 262 yards, 3 touchdowns, and only had 7 incompletions. The Falcons scored on their first 5 drives, and the Eagles offense couldn't keep up.
Raiders (APR, SRS) @ Chiefs (Line)
Matt Cassel is almost certainly a better quarterback than Brady Quinn. But either way the Chiefs go, they are a very bad team, and might not win another game this season.
Colts (APR, SRS) @ Titans (Line)
The good news for the Titans is their usually ineffective defense held the Colts to just 13 points through 4 quarters. The bad news is their usually ineffective offense couldn't do any better, and their defense gave up a game-winning touchdown drive in overtime.
Dolphins (APR, SRS) @ Jets (Line)
If anything went right for the Jets in this game, it isn't apparent from the stat sheets. A blocked punt gave the Dolphins their first touchdown. A lost fumble gave then a short field for a second, and a long runback gave them a short field for a third. Meanwhile, the Jets' offense struggled mightily. They didn't have a drive go more than 10 yards(!) until late in the first half, and that resulted in a blocked field goal attempt.
Seahawks (APR, SRS) @ Lions (Line)
The Seahawks managed to take a 3-point lead with 5:27 left in the game. One more stop might have been enough to win the game. But instead, their defense allowed the Lions to drive 80 yards for the go-ahead touchdown, and use almost all of the remaining game time. The remaining 15 seconds of game time simply wasn't enough for the Seahawks to answer.
Redskins (SRS) @ Steelers (APR, Line)
I assume SRS liked the Redskins here because they've scored a lot of points this season (6 games with 23+ points). But the Steelers defense was able to mostly neutralize RG3 (177 yards and 1 TD passing, and just 8 yards rushing). Meanwhile, the Steelers were able to score early and often on the Redskins not-very-good defense, and this game was pretty well over by halftime.


This week, it's the Line's turn to take a beating.

APR 11-3 57-4555.9%
SRS 10-4 57-4555.9%
Line 8-6 64-3862.7%