Tuesday, November 20, 2012

NFL Week 11 APR vs. ESPN

What this is

A comparison of APR's Week 11 power rankings with ESPN's rankings for the same week of games. This acts as a sanity check (both ways) to see what teams are over- or underrated.

Only teams with the widest differential are listed. The number in parentheses is the difference between APR's rank and ESPN's rank.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

ESPN drops the Colts back to Earth after they got dismantled by the Patriots, which just leaves:

On the bubble
The Falcons (+6) continue to rack up close wins against lesser opponents. I've been watching APR long enough to know that's not a good sign for a happy ending to the season.

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Panthers (-9)
The Panthers are, in some sense, a cautionary tale of what the Falcons could be, with only a few missed plays. They've both played a lot of games that were close in the 4th quarter. But unlike the Falcons, the Panthers just can't find a way to hold onto a 4th-quarter lead.
On the bubble
Patriots, Seahawks, Broncos (-6)