Tuesday, November 27, 2012

NFL: Week 12 APR vs. ESPN

What this is

A comparison of APR's Week 12 power rankings with ESPN's rankings for the same week of games. This acts as a sanity check (both ways) to see what teams are over- or underrated.

Only teams with the widest differential are listed. The number in parentheses is the difference between APR's rank and ESPN's rank.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

On the bubble
Another week, another close win for the Falcons (+6).
ESPN somehow gives the Colts (+6) a 5-spot bump on their less-than-dominating win over the 4-7 Bills.
The Ravens (+6) have amassed a 9-2 record, but it's really not a good sign they played behind the 4-7 Chargers most of the game, and needed to convert 4th and 29 just to get to overtime.

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Panthers (-7)
The Panthers finally found another team they could beat. And some of their early-season based power is finally getting to the fall-off part of APR's weighting curve.
On the bubble
Nobody closer than the Broncos (-5).