| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans @ Titans | Texans ρ=1.2372 | Texans* δ=17.5 | Texans -5½ |
| Panthers @ Chiefs | Panthers ρ=1.2210 | Panthers* δ=11.6 | Panthers -2½ |
| Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots ρ=1.2197 | Patriots* δ=17.1 | Patriots -9 |
| 49ers @ Rams | 49ers ρ=1.2196 | 49ers* δ=13.7 | 49ers -7 |
| Eagles @ Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.1937 | Cowboys δ=8.9 | Cowboys -9½ |
| Buccaneers @ Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.1390 | Broncos δ=4.7 | Broncos -7 |
| Jaguars @ Bills | Bills* ρ=1.1309 | Bills δ=4.6 | Bills -6 |
| Giants @ Redskins | Giants ρ=1.1208 | Giants* δ=6.6 | Giants -2½ |
| Vikings @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.1176 | Packers δ=4.4 | Packers -9 |
| Browns @ Raiders | Browns ρ=1.1026 | Browns* δ=9.4 | Raiders -1½ |
| Cardinals @ Jets | Jets* ρ=1.0967 | Cardinals* δ=1.0 | Jets -4½ |
| Bengals @ Chargers | Bengals ρ=1.0742 | Bengals* δ=1.9 | Bengals -1 |
| Saints @ Falcons | Falcons* ρ=1.0573 | Falcons δ=4.7 | Falcons -3½ |
| Steelers @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.0527 | Ravens δ=4.6 | Ravens -9 |
| Seahawks @ Bears | Bears ρ=1.0294 | Bears δ=4.4 | Bears -4½ |
| Colts @ Lions | Colts* ρ=1.0055 | Lions δ=5.7 | Lions -4½ |
Comments:
No line for Steelers @ Ravens at the moment; I'll update later in the week. Update: football locks is saying Ravens -9. Sounds good to me.
It seems like there's a lot of match-ups this week to determine draft position. Does anyone really want to watch Browns @ Raiders?
At least the Panthers should get their 4th win, and maybe even finally drop of the "Teams APR likes more than ESPN" list.
SRS makes another rogue pick. This time I'm not sure that's totally wrong. Certainly, I think the Cardinals would have a decent chance to beat the Jets if the game was in Arizona instead of New Jersey.
Should the Falcons be on upset alert again? My comments from week 10 still apply. And the Saints are 5-1 in their last 6 trips to Atlanta...
