Monday, December 3, 2012

NFL Week 13 Power Rankings

RankTeamPower
Index
W-LThis Week
1 (-)Patriots1.0867
(LW × 1.0290)
9-3Won by 7
@ Dolphins
2 (-)Broncos1.0665
(LW × 1.0178)
9-3Won by 8
vs Buccaneers
3 (↑1)Texans1.0224
(LW × 1.0050)
11-1Won by 14
@ Titans
4 (↓1)49ers1.0157
(LW × 0.9794)
8-3-1Lost by 3
@ Rams
5 (↑2)Packers0.9891
(LW × 1.0038)
8-4Won by 9
vs Vikings
6 (↑3)Seahawks0.9801
(LW × 1.0156)
7-5Won by 6
@ Bears
7 (↓1)Giants0.9778
(LW × 0.9921)
7-5Lost by 1
@ Redskins
8 (-)Falcons0.9736
(LW × 1.0053)
11-1Won by 10
vs Saints
9 (↓4)Bears0.9596
(LW × 0.9659)
8-4Lost by 6
vs Seahawks
10 (-)Ravens0.9541
(LW × 0.9926)
9-3Lost by 3
vs Steelers
11 (↑2)Steelers0.9455
(LW × 1.0354)
7-5Won by 3
@ Ravens
12 (↑2)Bengals0.9393
(LW × 1.0322)
7-5Won by 7
@ Chargers
13 (↓2)Buccaneers0.9240
(LW × 1.0043)
6-6Lost by 8
@ Broncos
14 (↓2)Saints0.9184
(LW × 1.0027)
5-7Lost by 10
@ Falcons
15 (↑1)Colts0.9061
(LW × 1.0286)
8-4Won by 2
@ Lions
16 (↑2)Redskins0.8963
(LW × 1.0193)
6-6Won by 1
vs Giants
17 (↑3)Dolphins0.8733
(LW × 1.0086)
5-7Lost by 7
vs Patriots
18 (↑5)Rams0.8723
(LW × 1.0259)
5-6-1Won by 3
vs 49ers
19 (↓2)Cowboys0.8692
(LW × 0.9872)
6-6Won by 5
vs Eagles
20 (↓5)Vikings0.8648
(LW × 0.9808)
6-6Lost by 9
@ Packers
21 (↑4)Bills0.8628
(LW × 1.0236)
5-7Won by 16
vs Jaguars
22 (↓3)Lions0.8618
(LW × 0.9837)
4-8Lost by 2
vs Colts
23 (↓1)Jets0.8602
(LW × 1.0100)
5-7Won by 1
vs Cardinals
24 (↑2)Browns0.8579
(LW × 1.0244)
4-8Won by 3
@ Raiders
25 (↓4)Panthers0.8467
(LW × 0.9789)
3-9Lost by 6
@ Chiefs
26 (↓2)Chargers0.8389
(LW × 0.9903)
4-8Lost by 7
vs Bengals
27 (-)Titans0.8125
(LW × 0.9881)
4-8Lost by 14
vs Texans
28 (-)Cardinals0.7737
(LW × 0.9964)
4-8Lost by 1
@ Jets
29 (-)Raiders0.7600
(LW × 1.0006)
3-9Lost by 3
vs Browns
30 (↑1)Eagles0.7382
(LW × 1.0008)
3-9Lost by 5
@ Cowboys
31 (↓1)Jaguars0.7339
(LW × 0.9847)
2-10Lost by 16
@ Bills
32 (-)Chiefs0.7326
(LW × 1.0341)
2-10Won by 6
vs Panthers

Comments:

  • Statistically, the Patriots look very similar to last year's team. They again have the #1 offense (both by yards gained and points scored), and a middle-of-the-pack defense. With Belichick as head coach and Tom Brady as quarterback, it's hard to pick against them going deep into the playoffs again this year.

  • The Saints continue to rise and fall on the performance of Drew Brees. They are 5-0 when his passer rating is over 110, and 0-7 when it is under 110.

  • The Chiefs' second win brings them up nearly even with the Jaguars. A decent showing next week (or a bad loss by the Jaguars) could lift them out of last place.

  • Some of the playoff picture is starting to shape up. The Texans, Patriots, Broncos, and Falcons have all clinched playoff spots.

  • It looks like the AFC playoff teams are mostly set, with the last wildcard spot probably coming down to the week 16 matchup between the Bengals and Steelers.

  • The NFC side of the playoffs is still pretty wide open, with 4 teams a game back of the final wildcard spot. The bad news for all those teams on the outside looking in is that the Packers, Bears, and Seahawks all have pretty easy remaining schedules, and so don't seem likely to slip out of the playoffs.

  • There are a couple of exceptions. With the Giants losing to the Redskins, the East is still wide open, and with the 49ers losing to the Rams, the Seahawks still have a chance to win the NFC West.