Tuesday, December 11, 2012

NFL Week 14 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (9-5)


Broncos @ Raiders
Jets @ Jaguars
Chiefs @ Browns
Titans @ Colts
Cardinals @ Seahawks
Saints @ Giants
Dolphins @ 49ers
Lions @ Packers
Texans @ Patriots


Eagles @ Buccaneers
The Eagles discovered a defense, at least for this game. This is the first time a team hasn't scored more than 21 points on the Eagles since early October (before the firing of DC Juan Castillo).
Cowboys @ Bengals
For all the hype on Andy Dalton and A.J. Green, the Bengals' offense isn't that good. They are 2-6 when they give up more than 13 points on defense. And they couldn't score 20 points on the Cowboys, who have given up at least that much in 8 games this year.
Chargers @ Steelers
The Steelers had breakdowns in pretty much all phases in this game. The offense couldn't move the ball. The defense couldn't get a stop. The punting unit couldn't flip field position. The Steelers only had one interception, but it was a doozy. Roethlisberger was intercepted deep on the Steelers' side of the field. The resulting Chargers' touchdown ended any hope of a Steeler come-back.
Falcons @ Panthers
The Falcons lack of a quick-strike offense continues to be a major vulnerability for them. Their longest first-half drive was just 31 yards. And meanwhile the Panthers had managed to score 16 points. Usually not an insurmountable lead, except when the offense can only manage two drives a quarter, and the defense gives up a couple more touchdowns.
Bears @ Vikings
After their first two touchdowns, the Vikings' day on offense: punt, punt, punt, interception, punt, punt, punt, punt. If Cutler had not thrown those two inteceptions, the Bears win this game.

Split Picks: (APR: 1-1, SRS: 1-1, Line: 1-1)

Ravens (APR, SRS) @ Redskins (Line)
The Ravens' defense has been suspect all season, and this is another prime example of why. This is the 5th game they've given up at least 28 points in regulation this season, and their offense mostly isn't able to keep up when the defense gives up that many points.
Rams (APR, SRS) @ Bills (Line)
When the Rams lose, it's mostly because they struggle on defense: they are 1-4-1 when they give up more than 17 points. So the Bills were in trouble when they got to the 4th quarter with just a 5-point lead. And sure enough, the Rams managed one last, late game-winning touchdown drive.


APR 10-6 118-73-161.7%
SRS 10-6 114-77-160.0%
Line 10-6 124-67-164.8%