| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos @ Raiders | Broncos ρ=1.4033 | Broncos* δ=21.4 | Broncos -10½ |
| Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.2667 | Seahawks δ=7.8 | Seahawks -10½ |
| Eagles @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers ρ=1.2517 | Buccaneers δ=11.3 | Buccaneers -7½ |
| Jets @ Jaguars | Jets ρ=1.1720 | Jets* δ=8.9 | Jets -2½ |
| Chiefs @ Browns | Browns ρ=1.1710 | Browns δ=7.0 | Browns -6½ |
| Dolphins @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.1630 | 49ers δ=13.8 | 49ers -10 |
| Falcons @ Panthers | Falcons ρ=1.1498 | Falcons* δ=8.1 | Falcons -3½ |
| Lions @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.1477 | Packers δ=5.7 | Packers -6½ |
| Chargers @ Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.1270 | Steelers δ=1.5 | Steelers -7 |
| Titans @ Colts | Colts ρ=1.1152 | Colts δ=3.0 | Colts -5½ |
| Bears @ Vikings | Bears ρ=1.1096 | Bears* δ=8.5 | Bears -3 |
| Cowboys @ Bengals | Bengals* ρ=1.0807 | Bengals δ=0.9 | Bengals -6½ |
| Saints @ Giants | Giants ρ=1.0647 | Giants δ=7.5 | Giants -5 |
| Ravens @ Redskins | Ravens ρ=1.0646 | Ravens* δ=1.5 | Redskins -2½ |
| Texans @ Patriots | Patriots* ρ=1.0630 | Patriots δ=4.1 | Patriots -3½ |
| Rams @ Bills | Rams ρ=1.0110 | Rams* δ=5.1 | Bills -3 |
Comments:
Almost all unanimous picks again this week.
Wow, the Line is picking the Redskins over the Ravens? I'm not saying it's wrong, but it is surprising.
It sure seems like the Bills are a team the Rams should be able to beat. But the Rams are 1-3-1 on the road, and 0-3 against the other AFC East teams.
I mentioned in the week 13 pick results that the Lions have been in nearly every game they've played this season. so a 6½ point line isn't unreasonable. But I have a feeling that in prime time, at Lambeau, facing their 9th loss of the season this could be the game where the wheels really come off for them.
On the other hand, with reports that James Starks is hurt, and possibly out for the rest of the season, the Packers weak running game just got worse. Ryan Grant has been re-signed in response, and it sounds like he'll get at least a few carries on Sunday, but it's hard to imagine that he'll be much of a difference-maker at least in his first game back.
