| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots ρ=1.5267 | Patriots* δ=26.6 | Patriots -14½ |
| Browns @ Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.3004 | Broncos δ=13.3 | Broncos -14 |
| Colts @ Chiefs | Colts ρ=1.2690 | Colts* δ=7.8 | Colts -6½ |
| Redskins @ Eagles | Redskins ρ=1.2582 | Redskins* δ=11.0 | Redskins -4½ |
| Titans @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.2288 | Packers δ=14.0 | Packers -13 |
| Raiders @ Panthers | Panthers ρ=1.2027 | Panthers δ=11.8 | Panthers -9½ |
| Falcons @ Lions | Falcons ρ=1.1954 | Falcons* δ=10.0 | Falcons -4 |
| Bears @ Cardinals | Bears ρ=1.1546 | Bears* δ=9.7 | Bears -5½ |
| Vikings @ Texans | Texans ρ=1.0859 | Texans δ=4.9 | Texans -9 |
| Giants @ Ravens | Giants ρ=1.0794 | Giants* δ=4.5 | Giants -1 |
| 49ers @ Seahawks | 49ers ρ=1.0518 | 49ers* δ=1.1 | 49ers -1 |
| Bills @ Dolphins | Dolphins* ρ=1.0501 | Dolphins δ=4.8 | Dolphins -4 |
| Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals ρ=1.0499 | Bengals* δ=2.8 | Steelers -4 |
| Rams @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers* ρ=1.0333 | Buccaneers δ=1.3 | Buccaneers -3 |
| Chargers @ Jets | Jets* ρ=1.0306 | Chargers* δ=1.4 | Jets -1 |
| Saints @ Cowboys | Saints ρ=1.0281 | Saints* δ=0.9 | Cowboys -2½ |
Comments:
Adrian Peterson needs 294 yards in the Vikings' final two games to break Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing yards record. Vick Ballard (105) and Chris Johnson (141) are the only players to rush for more than 100 yards on the Texans this season.
The Saints are 728 yards away from breaking the '81 Colts record for most yards allowed in a season. They've only held their opponent under 364 yards one time this season, in their week 13 loss to the Falcons.
The '81 Colts record for most points allowed in a season should remain safe for another year. The Raiders or Bills would need to allow 132 points in their final two games to surpass 533 points allowed in a season.
The Packers are just a half-game behind the 49ers, so the #2 seed in the playoffs will remain in play as long as Green Bay keeps winning.
Giants @ Ravens should be a telling matchup. Either way it goes, the loser of that game will be in a serious tail-spin. If the Giants lose, it will drop them to 8-7, and could be the end of their playoff hopes. The Ravens have already clinched a playoff spot, but a loss would put their hold on the AFC North in jeopardy, and mean virtually no momentum going into the final game of the season.
Bengals @ Steelers is another do-or-die matchup this week, with the Steelers needing a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt. The Bengals haven't won in Pittsburgh since 2009.
