Tuesday, December 18, 2012

NFL Week 15 APR vs. ESPN

What this is

A comparison of APR's Week 15 power rankings with ESPN's rankings for the same week of games. This acts as a sanity check (both ways) to see what teams are over- or underrated.

Only teams with the widest differential are listed. The number in parentheses is the difference between APR's rank and ESPN's rank.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Colts (+8)
ESPN holds the Colts steady after their "expected" 2-score loss to the Texans, while APR drops them 3 spots. APR is probably also dropping them because their wins over the Vikings and Packers are getting less weight, and all the other Colts wins are over teams with losing records.
On the bubble
Nodbody closer than the Texans (+5)

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Panthers (-11)
Here we go again. The Panthers are 5-9, and well out of the playoffs. On the other hand, they are 3-1 in their last 4, including a solid win over the conference-leading Atlanta Falcons. (The Panthers also get a nice indirect boost because of how the Falcons dismantled the Giants this week.)
Saints (-8)
The Saints are another team benefitting from the Falcons rise in power, along with a dominating win over the Bucs.
On the bubble
Nobody closer than the Giants (-5)