Tuesday, December 18, 2012

NFL Week 15 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (7-2)


Bengals @ Eagles
Seahawks @ Bills
Broncos @ Ravens
Redskins @ Browns
Jaguars @ Dolphins
Colts @ Texans
Chiefs @ Raiders


Lions @ Cardinals
The Cardinals' offense was its usual, ineffective self: 196 total net yards and an interception. But the Lions were in full-on melt-down mode: 3 interceptions and a lost fumble gave the Cardinals 4 easy touchdowns, and when the Lions didn't turn the ball over, their drives usually ended with a punt.
49ers @ Patriots
For about 40 minutes of game time, the Patriots played really poorly. They gave up 4 turnovers, and got outscored 41-6. What's astonishing is that for 20 minutes of game time, the Patriots played extraordinarily well, outscoring the 49ers 28-0, tying the game. If they had just been able to hang onto the ball, they probably would've won.

Split Picks: (APR: 3-4, SRS: 3-4, Line: 4-3)

Jets (APR, SRS) @ Titans (Line)
Mark Sanchez threw 4 interceptions to a Titans defense that had 12 interceptions all season prior to this game. The Jets join the Dolphins as the only teams this season not to score at least 19 points on the Titans.
Packers (APR, Line) @ Bears (SRS)
I've said this before, but it's worth repeating: the Bears offense is not very good, and they struggle when they don't get scores on defense or special teams. They only had three drives go longer than 19 yards. This game wouldn't have been even this close if the Packers had taken better care of the ball.
Vikings (SRS) @ Rams (APR, Line)
Didn't the Rams used to have a defense? Adrian Peterson (212 yards on 24 runs) ran all over them, and Christian Ponder only threw incomplete 7 times. A lot of the Vikings' drives ended in field goals, but three touchdowns, including a long AP run and a pick 6 put the game out of reach.
Panthers (APR) @ Chargers (SRS, Line)
The Chargers are a really bad team. They have to fire Norv Turner now, right?
Giants (APR, SRS) @ Falcons (Line)
Eli Manning had a poor game (barely a 50% completion rate, 161 yards and 2 interceptions), but perhaps more importantly, the Giants' defense just couldn't stop the Falcons, who got 10 points off the turnovers, and had 3 drives of 69+ yards end in touchdowns, and in the process, had nearly a 2-to-1 advantage in time of possession.
Steelers (APR, Line) @ Cowboys (SRS)
It's tempting to blame this loss on Roethlisberger's health, and certainly that interception in overtime is on him. But the fact is, the Steelers have scored more than 24 points just twice all season. The real problem is their defense: they are 2-6 when they give up 20 or more points. They're also one of the worst defenses in the league at generating turnovers, and the Cowboys are 7-2 when they don't turn the ball over more than once.
Buccaneers (SRS) @ Saints (APR, Line)
The Buccaneers just couldn't do anything on offense in this game. Josh Freeman threw 4 interceptions and lost a fumble. They did manage to get into the red zone a couple times, but turned the ball over on downs both times, never reaching a goal-to-go situation.


APR 10-6 128-79-161.8%
SRS 10-6 124-83-160.0%
Line 10-6 134-73-164.7%