Tuesday, November 12, 2013

NFL Week 10 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (5-7)


Seahawks @ Falcons
Broncos @ Chargers
Lions @ Bears
Texans @ Cardinals
Cowboys @ Saints


Jaguars @ Titans
The Jaguars defense had their best game of the year, generating 3 critical turnovers, a safety, and (for the most part) holding the Titans offense in check. The offense didn't have an amazing game, but they did enough (including converting turnovers into points) to, for the first time this season, come out on the winning end.
Rams @ Colts
If there's anything that went right for the Colts in this game, it isn't apparent from the box scores. They gave up touchdowns on offense, defense, and special teams. What stands out the most is that the Colts' offense mostly couldn't get sustained drives going, and when they did (with one exception) they couldn't convert them into points.
Eagles @ Packers
For the Packers, this was pretty much a nightmare repeat of last week. The starting quarterback goes out after the first series, the offense sputters the rest of the game, and the defense can't keep things in hand. It also included another embarrassing, 9 minute clock killing drive by their opponent at the end of the game.
Redskins @ Vikings
The short story here is that the Vikings, and particularly their offense, played one of their best games of the season. In spite of an early interception, Christian Ponder was 17/21, 174 yards, and a couple of touchdowns. The Vikings defense, while in no danger of winning any awards, did manage to hold the Redskins to just 3 points in the second half, and make a late goal-line stand to keep the Redskins from forcing overtime.
Bengals @ Ravens
A sloppy game by both teams. The Bengals mistakes were more costly, including a 48 yard DPI penalty that gave the Ravens the ball at the 5 yard line, and an interception returned to the 11. The Ravens converted both into touchdowns.
Raiders @ Giants
The Raiders offense is just not very good. They only had one drive in this game longer than 21 yards. Some mistakes by the Giants kept them in the game, but they just needed more offense for a win.
Dolphins @ Buccaneers
The Buccaneers finally had reasoably good play from their offense and defense for most of the same game. The Bucs' defense really shut down the Dolphins, allowing just 213 yards. Their offense still isn't that great, their defense was good enough that 22 points was enough to get their first win.

Split Picks: (APR 0-2, SRS 1-1, Line 1-1)

Bills (APR, SRS) @ Steelers (Line)
E.J. Manuel barely averaged 4 yards per attempt passing, with a 56% completion rate. The result was the Bills didn't have a drive longer than 34 yards until garbage time, and the Steelers were able to get a pretty easy win.
Panthers (SRS) @ 49ers (APR, Line)
This was an extraordiary performance on the part of the Panthers' defense. They allowed one drive longer than 17 yards (!) They had 6 sacks, an interception and a recovered fumble, and held the 49ers to 151 yards of offense. The Panthers' offense wasn't lighting things up either, but with their defense dominating, it was enough.


Another week of upsets. Nobody's happy except the underdogs.

APR 5- 9 73-5855.7%
SRS 6- 8 77-5458.8%
Line 6- 8 80-5161.1%