Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Week 17 APR vs. ESPN

What this is

A comparison of APR's Week 16 power rankings with ESPN's rankings for the same week of games. This acts as a sanity check (both ways) to see what teams are over- or underrated.

Only teams with the widest differential are listed. The number in parentheses is the difference between APR's rank and ESPN's rank.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Packers (+14)
ESPN had the Packers overrated when they were without Aaron Rodgers (and Randall Cobb), so it's fair to say APR has them underrated now that they've returned. Still, I don't think a late win over a not-very-good Bears team is worth a 4 spot bump.
Bears (+10)
Maybe APR has them ranked a bit too low at #25, but #15 is too high for the Bears and their awful defense. Only the Vikings allowed more points this year. and only the Cowboys and Vikings allowed more yards.
Cowboys (+7)
APR and ESPN both drop the Cowboys 2 spots after losing to the Eagles. This is another team with a bad defense, and shouldn't be ranked as high as #17.
On the Bubble
Nobody closer than the Lions, Chiefs, Broncos, and Colts (all +5).

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Rams (-11)
APR has the Rams rated way too high at #9.
Buccaneers (-10)
And #17 is too high for the 4-12 Buccaneers.
On the bubble:
Nobody closer than the Vikings, Bills, Gians, and Cardinals, all (-5)