| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions @ Falcons | Lions ρ=1.2661 | Lions* δ=10.0 | Lions -3½ |
| Rams @ Chiefs | Chiefs* ρ=1.2550 | Chiefs δ=16.7 | Chiefs -6½ |
| Washington @ Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.2503 | Cowboys δ=9.5 | Cowboys -9½ |
| Colts @ Steelers | Colts ρ=1.2467 | Colts* δ=20.1 | Colts -2½ |
| Packers @ Saints | Packers ρ=1.1952 | Packers* δ=12.7 | Saints -1 |
| Chargers @ Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.1845 | Broncos δ=7.4 | Broncos -7½ |
| Dolphins @ Jaguars | Dolphins ρ=1.1786 | Dolphins* δ=13.4 | Dolphins -5½ |
| Raiders @ Browns | Browns ρ=1.1661 | Browns δ=3.7 | Browns -7 |
| Seahawks @ Panthers | Seahawks ρ=1.1634 | Seahawks* δ=14.4 | Seahawks -4½ |
| Bills @ Jets | Bills ρ=1.1506 | Bills* δ=5.5 | Jets -3 |
| Bears @ Patriots | Patriots* ρ=1.1195 | Patriots δ=6.4 | Patriots -6½ |
| Texans @ Titans | Texans ρ=1.1038 | Texans* δ=6.9 | Texans -1 |
| Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings ρ=1.0814 | Vikings* δ=11.2 | Buccaneers -2½ |
| Ravens @ Bengals | Ravens ρ=1.0561 | Ravens* δ=8.6 | Bengals -1 |
| Eagles @ Cardinals | Cardinals* ρ=1.0230 | Eagles* δ=1.1 | Cardinals -2½ |
Bye: 49ers, Giants
Comments:
Since their blow-out win over the Buccaneers, the Falcons have averaged 17 points a game, and (with the exception of the Ravens) facing some pretty bad defenses. Given how good the Lions' defense has been, the Falcons might actually be looking at their first shut out since 2004.
Should the Saints be favored to win this week? They don't lose very often at home, and with a prime time game and on the brink of falling to 2-5, they're going to be as jacked up for this game as any this season.
On the other hand, their two home wins so far this season were not exactly dominating afairs, in spite of a couple pretty weak opponents. I think if the Packers come ready for a battle, this is one they can win.
Can the Browns get back on track against the Raiders? After watching the Cardinals @ Raiders game last week, I think the Raiders are not as bad as their 0-6 record, and if the Browns are not careful, they could wind up giving a win to the final remaining winless team.
Remember when the Bengals were one of the last undefeated teams in the league? That's gotta seem like a long time ago to them and their fans. Especially if AJ Green can't play, this seems like it should be a pretty easy win for the Ravens.
Eagles @ Cardinals is actually one of the marquee matchups this week. But with the way the Eagles turn over the ball, and have needed a lot of help from their special teams to put points on the board, I think they're going to have a tough time getting ahead of the Cardinals.
