| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs ρ=1.3623 | Chiefs δ=17.6 | Chiefs -10 |
| Raiders @ Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.3178 | Seahawks δ=13.5 | Seahawks -15 |
| Jaguars @ Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.2599 | Bengals δ=12.2 | Bengals -11 |
| Rams @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.2303 | 49ers δ=12.9 | 49ers -10 |
| Broncos @ Patriots | Broncos ρ=1.2002 | Broncos* δ=10.9 | Broncos -3 |
| Buccaneers @ Browns | Browns ρ=1.1896 | Browns δ=14.8 | Browns -6½ |
| Colts @ Giants | Colts ρ=1.1256 | Colts* δ=10.6 | Colts -3 |
| Washington @ Vikings | Washington ρ=1.0773 | Washington* δ=4.4 | Vikings -1 |
| Chargers @ Dolphins | Chargers ρ=1.0725 | Chargers* δ=6.2 | Dolphins -1½ |
| Eagles @ Texans | Eagles ρ=1.0712 | Eagles* δ=4.2 | Eagles -2 |
| Ravens @ Steelers | Ravens* ρ=1.0693 | Ravens* δ=9.4 | Steelers -1 |
| Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cardinals ρ=1.0506 | Cardinals* δ=2.5 | Cowboys -4 |
| Saints @ Panthers | Saints* ρ=1.0370 | Saints* δ=3.9 | Saints -3 |
Bye: Packers, Falcons, Lions, Titans, Bears, Bills
Comments:
No line for Ravens @ Steelers. Hopefully I can update before Sunday. Update: almost forgot. Still no agreement, a couple Lines going for Steelers, so that's how I'll go here.
-15 seems like a lot of points for the Seahawks to cover this week. Yeah, they're playing at home, and yeah, the Raiders are a bad team. But the Seahawks are also clearly not as good as they were last year either.
Some trepidation for the Washington/Vikings line as well, presumably based on the status of RG3. I'll check that one Saturday too.
Time for another Manning-Brady matchup, as well as a rematch of the AFC Championship game. As I mentioned in the power rankings, the Broncos are ranked head and shoulders above everybody else after having beaten the 49ers and Chargers. If they can beat the Patriots in their own house, it will give them a trio of really strong victories, and the inside track on the AFC's #1 seed.
The Line likes the Cowboys over the Cardinals. I think this is another mistake, especially with Romo hurt. The Cowboys struggled to score against Washington, and now they'll be facing a team with a real defense (even, I think, if Patrick Peterson has to sit out).
