Tuesday, April 29, 2008

AFL Pick Results and Week 9 Power Ranking

All algorithms had the same record this week. APR and SRS were agreed on all picks, and they split the two picks that ITP chose differently.

APRSRSITPHome
Week 2(701)(521)(530)(530)
Week 3(530)(530)(620)(620)
Week 4(530)(530)(530)(440)
Week 5(710)(800)(710)(350)
Week 6(440)(350)(440)(800)
Week 7(530)(530)(620)(350)
Week 8(620)(530)(710)(260)
Week 9(620)(620)(620)(620)
Totals:(45181)(42211)(46180)(37270)
71.1% 66.4% 71.9% 57.8%
 

Dallas stays at the number 2 spot in spite of a major beat down at the hands of Philadelphia. But there's now a major gap in their relative power indexes.

An odd coincidence: note that of the teams ranked 1-7, only Dallas has had their Bye week, while in the teams ranked 8-17, only Los Angeles and Utah have not had their Bye. New York, Chicago, and New Orleans all have their Byes next, so this trend won't continue...

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (LW)Philadelphia
Soul
9-0-01.6180
(LW * 1.0522)
beat Desperados by 29
2 (LW)Dallas
Desperados
7-1-01.4538
(LW * 0.9527)
lost to Soul by 29
3 (LW)New Orleans
VooDoo
7-2-01.4371
(LW * 0.9807)
beat Blaze by 14
4 (LW)Chicago
Rush
7-2-01.4359
(LW * 1.0134)
beat Crush by 13
5 (LW-2)New York
Dragons
5-4-01.3637
(LW * 1.0525)
beat Gladiators by 17
6 (LW)San Jose
SaberCats
5-4-01.3538
(LW * 1.0184)
beat Avengers by 28
7 (LW+2)Orlando
Predators
6-3-01.3147
(LW * 0.9450)
lost to Storm by 7
8 (LW-6)Tampa Bay
Storm
3-5-01.2328
(LW * 1.1023)
beat Predators by 7
9 (LW+1)Cleveland
Gladiators
4-4-01.2138
(LW * 0.9547)
lost to Dragons by 17
10 (LW+1)Georgia
Force
3-5-01.2016
(LW * 0.9686)
lost to Rattlers by 5
11 (LW)Grand Rapids
Rampage
3-5-01.1952
(LW * 1.0259)
beat Brigade by 34
12 (LW)Arizona
Rattlers
4-4-01.1829
(LW * 1.0458)
beat Force by 5
13 (LW+3)Colorado
Crush
3-5-01.1733
(LW * 0.9599)
lost to Rush by 13
14 (LW-1)Columbus
Destroyers
2-6-01.1265
(LW * 1.0106)
Bye
15 (LW+2)Los Angeles
Avengers
3-6-01.1037
(LW * 0.9779)
lost to SaberCats by 28
16 (LW)Kansas City
Brigade
1-7-01.0233
(LW * 0.9770)
lost to Rampage by 34
17 (LW)Utah
Blaze
0-9-01.0110
(LW * 1.0095)
lost to VooDoo by 14