Tuesday, June 17, 2008

AFL Week 16 Pick Results and Power Rankings

Pick Standings

APR misses just 2 games, both unanimous picks. For one (Colorado @ Arizona), Arizona had already clinched the #3 playoff seed at kickoff, and don't have anything to play for.

Interestingly, in spite of the wide spread of records, a lot of stuff still hangs in the balance. Dallas and Philadelphia are in the same division, the winner will not be determined until the final games of the season.

Another thing that has to be regarded as a pretty big embarrasment: in the American Conference, three 10-loss teams will make the playoffs (and, depending on how next week goes, maybe an 11-loss team). Yet in the National Conference, at least one 8-win team will end up on the outside looking in.

APRSRSITPHome
Week 2(701)(521)(530)(530)
Week 3(530)(530)(620)(620)
Week 4(530)(530)(530)(440)
Week 5(710)(800)(710)(350)
Week 6(440)(350)(440)(800)
Week 7(530)(530)(620)(350)
Week 8(620)(530)(710)(260)
Week 9(620)(620)(620)(620)
Week 10(260)(350)(440)(620)
Week 11(350)(350)(350)(620)
Week 12(620)(710)(620)(350)
Week 13(350)(260)(350)(530)
Week 14(710)(620)(620)(350)
Week 15(530)(620)(260)(530)
Week 16(620)(530)(530)(620)
Totals:(77421)(74451)(75450)(71490)
64.6% 62.1% 62.5% 59.2%

Power Rankings

Only one game decided by more than 3 points this week, so except for Arizona and Colorado, not much motion. Note that the top 4 teams have pretty close power indexes.

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (LW)Philadelphia
Soul
12-3-01.4694
(LW * 0.9920)
beat Gladiators by 1
2 (LW)Georgia
Force
10-5-01.4591
(LW * 0.9873)
beat Rush by 3
3 (LW)Dallas
Desperados
12-3-01.4478
(LW * 0.9997)
beat Dragons by 2
4 (LW)San Jose
SaberCats
10-5-01.4270
(LW * 1.0018)
beat Storm by 3
5 (LW)New York
Dragons
8-7-01.3795
(LW * 1.0014)
lost to Desperados by 2
6 (LW-1)Tampa Bay
Storm
7-8-01.3579
(LW * 0.9977)
lost to SaberCats by 3
7 (LW-2)Chicago
Rush
10-5-01.3513
(LW * 1.0118)
lost to Force by 3
8 (LW-2)Cleveland
Gladiators
8-7-01.3445
(LW * 1.0140)
lost to Soul by 1
9 (LW+3)New Orleans
VooDoo
8-7-01.3443
(LW * 0.9833)
lost to Predators by 2
10 (LW-1)Orlando
Predators
9-7-01.2870
(LW * 1.0088)
beat VooDoo by 2
11 (LW+3)Arizona
Rattlers
8-7-01.2828
(LW * 0.9581)
lost to Crush by 7
12 (LW)Utah
Blaze
5-10-01.2482
(LW * 1.0075)
Bye
13 (LW)Grand Rapids
Rampage
5-10-01.1891
(LW * 1.0215)
beat Destroyers by 3
14 (LW-3)Colorado
Crush
5-10-01.1756
(LW * 1.0671)
beat Rattlers by 7
15 (LW+1)Los Angeles
Avengers
5-10-01.1519
(LW * 1.0036)
beat Brigade by 3
16 (LW+1)Kansas City
Brigade
3-12-01.1395
(LW * 0.9945)
lost to Avengers by 3
17 (LW+1)Columbus
Destroyers
3-12-01.1099
(LW * 0.9839)
lost to Rampage by 3