Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
I'll update with poll information (and probably add a few more
teams) once it's posted. Update: done.
Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
1 (-) | Texas BCS=1 | 7-0 | 1.7940 (LW * 1.048) | won by 25 vs Missouri |
2 (↑4) | Florida BCS=10 | 5-1 | 1.6658 (LW * 1.045) | Bye |
3 (↓1) | Penn-St BCS=3 | 8-0 | 1.6396 (LW * 0.969) | won by 29 vs Michigan |
4 (↑5) | Oklahoma BCS=4 | 6-1 | 1.6253 (LW * 1.042) | won by 14 vs Kansas |
5 (↓1) | USC BCS=5 | 5-1 | 1.6013 (LW * 0.978) | won by 69 at Washington-St |
6 (↑11) | Ohio-St BCS=9 | 7-1 | 1.5821 (LW * 1.084) | won by 38 at Michigan-St |
7 (↓2) | Alabama BCS=2 | 7-0 | 1.5809 (LW * 0.977) | won by 4 vs Mississippi |
8 (-) | Oklahoma-St BCS=6 | 7-0 | 1.5711 (LW * 0.998) | won by 28 vs Baylor |
9 (↓2) | Texas-Tech BCS=8 | 7-0 | 1.5676 (LW * 0.990) | won by 18 at Texas-A&M |
10 (↑1) | Georgia BCS=7 | 6-1 | 1.5622 (LW * 1.017) | won by 10 vs Vanderbilt |
11 (↓8) | Missouri BCS=15 | 5-2 | 1.5583 (LW * 0.948) | lost by 25 at Texas |
12 (↑15) | Pittsburgh BCS=17 | 5-1 | 1.4953 (LW * 1.050) | won by 21 at Navy |
13 (↑8) | TCU BCS=14 | 7-1 | 1.4800 (LW * 1.030) | won by 25 vs BYU |
14 (↑2) | Boise-St BCS=12 | 6-0 | 1.4706 (LW * 1.006) | won by 20 vs Hawaii |
15 (↓3) | North-Carolina | 5-2 | 1.4700 (LW * 0.965) | lost by 3 at Virginia |
16 (↓3) | Ball-St BCS=20 | 7-0 | 1.4649 (LW * 0.969) | Bye |
17 (↑15) | Tulsa BCS=19 | 7-0 | 1.4507 (LW * 1.034) | won by 42 vs UTEP |
18 (↓4) | Virginia-Tech | 5-2 | 1.4444 (LW * 0.957) | lost by 5 at Boston-Coll |
19 (↑1) | Minnesota BCS=24 | 6-1 | 1.4431 (LW * 1.000) | Bye |
20 (↑2) | Utah BCS=11 | 8-0 | 1.4353 (LW * 1.001) | won by 33 vs Colorado-St |
21 (↓11) | Michigan-St | 6-2 | 1.4353 (LW * 0.921) | lost by 38 vs Ohio-St |
22 (↑6) | Nebraska | 4-3 | 1.4327 (LW * 1.009) | won by 28 at Iowa-St |
23 (↑1) | South-Florida BCS=16 | 6-1 | 1.4248 (LW * 0.996) | won by 32 vs Syracuse |
24 (↑5) | Iowa | 5-3 | 1.4226 (LW * 1.003) | won by 22 vs Wisconsin |
25 (↓10) | Georgia-Tech BCS=18 | 6-1 | 1.4178 (LW * 0.956) | won by 4 at Clemson |
26 (-) | Vanderbilt | 5-2 | 1.4124 (LW * 0.991) | lost by 10 at Georgia |
27 (↑11) | Boston-Coll | 5-1 | 1.4072 (LW * 1.023) | won by 5 vs Virginia-Tech |
28 (↑19) | LSU BCS=13 | 5-1 | 1.3991 (LW * 1.089) | won by 7 at South-Carolina |
29 (↑11) | Florida-St BCS=25 | 5-1 | 1.3878 (LW * 1.014) | won by 9 at NC-State |
30 (↓12) | Kansas BCS=23 | 5-2 | 1.3802 (LW * 0.950) | lost by 14 at Oklahoma |
Other Notable Teams: | ||||
31 (↑8) | Mississippi | 3-4 | 1.3767 (LW * 1.003) | lost by 4 at Alabama |
32 (↑4) | Oregon-St | 4-3 | 1.3767 (LW * 0.997) | won by 21 at Washington |
33 (↑12) | Arizona | 5-2 | 1.3766 (LW * 1.050) | won by 15 vs California |
34 (↑8) | Northwestern | 6-1 | 1.3662 (LW * 1.004) | won by 22 vs Purdue |
35 (↓16) | South-Carolina | 5-3 | 1.3630 (LW * 0.940) | lost by 7 vs LSU |
36 (↓3) | Notre-Dame | 4-2 | 1.3622 (LW * 0.975) | Bye |
37 (↑28) | Miami-FL | 4-3 | 1.3532 (LW * 1.103) | won by 18 at Duke |
38 (↓3) | W-Michigan | 6-2 | 1.3414 (LW * 0.969) | lost by 10 at Cent-Michigan |
39 (↓8) | BYU BCS=21 | 6-1 | 1.3376 (LW * 0.950) | lost by 25 at TCU |
Comments:
Texas' power index is head-and-shoulders above everyone else. That's the highest power index (beyond early-season anomolies) I've ever seen APR generate (last year the Patriots maxed out at 1.7340 after week 11).
Note that a lot of teams are clustered pretty close together if you go by power index. Boise State is just a whisker above North Carolina, and Utah and Michigan State are in a virtual tie.
That's one of the reasons why there's so much shuffling around week to week: it doesn't take much change in the power index to move a team up or down.
Penn State gets no love for their 29-point beat-down of the very weak Michigan squad. It's not helping that Wisconsin's power index has fallen off a cliff the last two weeks, either.
On the other hand, Florida moves up in part because the Gators' win over LSU last week looks better, thanks to LSU's win over South Carolina.
Congradulations to the Wildcats for their very solid win over the Cal Bears. For you sleepy-heads on the east coast who didn't watch this game, you'll want to look for a highlight package. Arizona running back Keola Antolin had 149 yards on 21 carries for 3 touchdowns. I'm pretty sure I heard the announcers say he's a freshman. If he can keep up that kind of production, Arizona is going to be a real threat the rest of the season.