Saturday, November 8, 2008

NCAA: APR's top 30+, Week 11

2008 Navigation Links

Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to NCAA.

BCS Rankings will be added when they are out (and I see them).


RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)Florida
BCS=4
8-11.7670
(LW × 1.001)
won by 28
at Vanderbilt
2 (↑2)Texas-Tech
BCS=2
10-01.6916
(LW × 1.021)
won by 36
vs Oklahoma-St
3 (↓1)Texas
BCS=3
9-11.6869
(LW × 0.982)
won by 24
vs Baylor
4 (↓1)Penn-St
BCS=8
9-11.6792
(LW × 0.988)
lost by 1
at Iowa
5 (-)Oklahoma
BCS=5
9-11.6484
(LW × 0.996)
won by 38
at Texas-A&M
6 (↑1)USC
BCS=6
8-11.5853
(LW × 1.012)
won by 14
vs California
7 (↑2)North-Carolina
BCS=16
7-21.5740
(LW × 1.021)
won by 21
vs Georgia-Tech
8 (↓2)Alabama
BCS=1
10-01.5656
(LW × 0.983)
won by 6
at LSU
9 (↓1)Boise-St
BCS=9
9-01.5497
(LW × 0.998)
won by 35
vs Utah-St
10 (↑2)Ohio-St
BCS=11
8-21.5487
(LW × 1.029)
won by 35
at Northwestern
11 (↑6)Utah
BCS=7
10-01.5031
(LW × 1.029)
won by 3
vs TCU
12 (↑1)Missouri
BCS=12
8-21.5005
(LW × 1.003)
won by 17
vs Kansas-St
13 (↓2)Georgia
BCS=10
8-21.4965
(LW × 0.991)
won by 4
at Kentucky
14 (↑1)Ball-St
BCS=14
9-01.4930
(LW × 1.019)
won by 31
vs Northern-Illinois
15 (↑3)TCU
BCS=18
9-21.4674
(LW × 1.005)
lost by 3
at Utah
16 (↓6)Oklahoma-St
BCS=13
8-21.4648
(LW × 0.964)
lost by 36
at Texas-Tech
17 (↑2)Michigan-St
BCS=15
9-21.4599
(LW × 1.007)
won by 14
vs Purdue
18 (↑5)Iowa6-41.4531
(LW × 1.036)
won by 1
vs Penn-St
19 (↑3)Florida-St
BCS=19
7-21.4520
(LW × 1.027)
won by 14
vs Clemson
20 (↑1)Pittsburgh
BCS=21
7-21.4432
(LW × 1.020)
won by 34
vs Louisville
21 (↑4)Cincinnati
BCS=22
7-21.4402
(LW × 1.039)
won by 3
at West-Virginia
22 (↓6)Miami-FL6-31.4352
(LW × 0.980)
Bye
23 (↓9)West-Virginia6-31.4275
(LW × 0.964)
lost by 3
vs Cincinnati
24 (↓4)Mississippi5-41.4098
(LW × 0.988)
Bye
25 (↑10)Virginia-Tech6-31.4031
(LW × 1.039)
won by 10
vs Maryland
26 (-)South-Carolina
BCS=25
7-31.3963
(LW × 1.010)
won by 13
vs Arkansas
27 (↑3)Rutgers4-51.3907
(LW × 1.014)
won by 18
vs Syracuse
28 (-)Tulsa
BCS=23
8-11.3857
(LW × 1.005)
Bye
29 (↑4)Nebraska6-41.3841
(LW × 1.021)
won by 10
vs Kansas
30 (↑11)Air-Force8-21.3780
(LW × 1.029)
won by 21
vs Colorado-St
31 (↑11)Oregon-St6-31.3756
(LW × 1.029)
won by 28
at UCLA
32 (-)Connecticut6-31.3664
(LW × 0.999)
Bye
33 (↑19)Wisconsin5-51.3634
(LW × 1.040)
won by 35
at Indiana
34 (↑5)Wake-Forest
BCS=24
6-31.3624
(LW × 1.012)
won by 11
vs Virginia
35 (↑21)Boston-Coll6-31.3601
(LW × 1.059)
won by 17
vs Notre-Dame
36 (↑4)W-Michigan8-21.3384
(LW × 0.997)
won by 6
vs Illinois

Other notable teams:
37 (↑1)BYU
BCS=17
9-11.3362
(LW × 0.992)
won by 29
vs San-Diego-St
43 (↑2)LSU
BCS=20
6-31.3184
(LW × 0.992)
lost by 6
vs Alabama

Comments:

  • I was shocked that Penn State let Iowa run the clock down to 6 seconds on their final drive, in spite of the fact that they had 3 time outs available. Even 30 seconds of clock time might've been enough for the Nittany Lions' offense to drive to field goal range. Just a stunning lack of basic clock management.

  • Penn State's loss was somewhat offset by (indirect) increase in power from other wins in the Big Ten, including Wisconsin, Michigan, and Michigan State. Penn State would've taken over the #1 spot if they had won.

  • LSU played a very solid game against Alabama, with the Crimson tide needing a last-second field goal to force overtime. Ironically, this loss will probably be the one that finally knocks them out of BCS's ranked teams.

  • USC's defense absolutely stuffed Cal. On the Bears' only scoring drive, the USC defense had two interceptions called back on penalties, and that was the only drive Cal ever came close to scoring.

  • Rutgers is ranked well above their three remaining opponents (South Florida, Army, and Louisville). They could very easily finish 7-5.

  • In spite of their mid-season 1-5 skid, Wisconsin is at 5-5, and could win their last two games to finish 7-5. The bad news is that they're 1-5 in the Big Ten.

  • Update: LSU still ranked! One of only two three 3-loss teams (along with Wake Forest and South Carolina).