Monday, November 10, 2008

NFL Week 10 Pick Results

2008 Navigation Links
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line picks counted correct when the favored team wins; they do not have to beat the spread to count as a win.

Pick results for week 10.

Unanimous picks (9-2)

Correctly picked:

Jaguars @ Lions
Ravens @ Texans
Seahawks @ Dolphins
Rams @ Jets
Titans @ Bears
Saints @ Falcons
Panthers @ Raiders
Chiefs @ Chargers
49ers @ Cardinals

(49ers snatch defeat from the jaws of victory; Singletary's pants explode)

Not so much:

Broncos @ Browns
The Browns had this game. Going into the 4th quarter, they were ahead 23-13, and the Broncos hadn't done better than a couple field goals since the first quarter. But then: 3 Broncos' touchdowns, including a 93-yard touchdown pass. Brady Quinn was able to rally the Browns offense for one matching touchdown, but not two.

Somewhere, Bernie Kosar helps himself to an extra-strength antacid.

Colts @ Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger threw 3 interceptions. The Colts converted first two into touchdowns; the last one was on the final play of the game.

It's not really to the Colts credit that the Steelers came as close as they did to winning anyway.

Split Picks (APR 2-1) (SRS 1-2) (Line 2-1)

Packers (APR, SRS) @ Vikings (Line)
Neither offense had anything to brag about in this game. Rodgers was harassed all game, to the point of giving up two safeties (huge in a game decided by 1 point). Frerotte was intercepted 3 times, which allowed the Packers to stay in the game.

But the Packers defense could not stop Adrian Peterson, and in the end that, as much as anything, made the difference.

Bills (SRS) @ Patriots (APR, Line)
SRS does not discount early games, so perhaps it liked the Bills based on early season successes. Early on, the Bills looked to be running away with the AFC East.

Giants (APR, SRS) @ Eagles (Line)
The Eagles hung in there to the end, but the Giants ran the ball (they were averaging more than 6 yards per carry at one point); the Eagles could not, including on their final attempt at a 3rd-and-1 (and then 4th-and-1) conversion.

Standings:

This weekOverall
APR:11-385-43
SRS:10-479-49
Line:11-385-42-1
Unanimous: 9-266-25

New power rankings, and next weeks picks to come.