2008
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Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line picks counted correct when the favored team wins; they do not
have to beat the spread to count as a win.
Pick results for week 11.
Unanimous picks (9-1-1)
Correctly picked:
- Lions @ Panthers
- Titans @ Jaguars
- Raiders @ Dolphins
- Texans @ Colts
- Cardinals @ Seahawks
- Chargers @ Steelers
- Vikings @ Buccaneers
- Saints @ Chiefs
- Cowboys @ Redskins
Not so much:
- Broncos @ Falcons
- Are the Broncos turning things around? They are 3-0 when the defense holds their opponent to 20 or fewer points. The problem has been that they have 5 games where they gave up 30+ points...
- Eagles @ Bengals
- The Eagles didn't win because McNabb threw 3 interceptions, and the Eagles rushed for a combined 67 yards. With the Bengals and Eagles combining for just seven 3rd-down conversions, it's something of a wonder this wasn't a 0-0 tie.
Split Picks (APR 3-2) (SRS 4-1) (Line 3-2)
- Browns (APR, SRS) @ Bills (Line)
- The Browns' defense comes up with 3 interceptions and a fumble recovery. And somehow they let it come down to a couple of long field goals (one made, the other missed). I suppose the Browns will take wins any way they come, but that was ugly.
- Bears (SRS) @ Packers (APR, Line)
- The Packers played their best game of the year so far, and the Bears played their worst. The Bears couldn't stop the Packers, and couldn't get started on offense. Kyle Orton will take some of the blame, but even healthy, that's not an offense that can get many wins when they have to get to 38 points.
- Ravens (APR) @ Giants (SRS, Line)
- Maybe APR was overrating the Ravens... but since when to they give up 207 yards rushing? Add in a lack-luster day for rookie QB Joe Flacco, and that's all it takes.
- Rams (APR) @ 49ers (SRS, Line)
- Is Singletary making a difference for the 49ers? One blow-out win against the Rams isn't the strongest proof in the world.
- Jets (APR, SRS) @ Patriots (Line)
- A close game, as advertised. Both teams clearly still have major issues. The Jets were up 24-6 at one point, and then gave up 18 points before their next score. The Patriots gained 525 yards, scored 31 points, only lost one turnover, and still couldn't win. Both teams may make it to the playoffs; I'll be surprised if either one survives past the Divisional round.
Standings:
This week Overall APR: 12-3-1 97-46-1 SRS: 13-2-1 92-51-1 Line: 12-3-1 97-45-2 Unanimous: 9-1-1 75-26-1
New power rankings, and next weeks picks to come.
