Picks for week 12, based on the week 11 rankings.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken
from yahoo.com, and are for comparison purposes only.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions | Buccaneers ρ=1.3824 | Buccaneers δ=18.41 | Buccaneers -8½ |
| Chicago Bears @ St. Louis Rams | Bears ρ=1.2332 | Bears δ=19.25 | Bears -8½ |
| Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.2290 | Steelers δ=14.48 | Steelers -10½ |
| New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans | Titans ρ=1.1884 | Titans δ=8.62 | Titans -5 |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.1791 | Cowboys δ=7.37 | Cowboys -10 |
| New York Giants @ Arizona Cardinals | Giants ρ=1.1486 | Giants δ=7.25 | Giants -3 |
| Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.1354 | Broncos δ=7.21 | Broncos -9½ |
| Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints | Packers ρ=1.1254 | Packers δ=7.03 | Saints -2½ |
| Washington Redskins @ Seattle Seahawks | Redskins ρ=1.0848 | Redskins δ=6.47 | Redskins -3½ |
| Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs | Bills ρ=1.0755 | Bills δ=6.65 | Bills -3 |
| Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns | Browns ρ=1.0739 | Browns δ=3.62 | Browns -3 |
| Indianapolis Colts @ San Diego Chargers | Colts ρ=1.0540 | Colts δ=1.19 | Chargers -2½ |
| Philadelphia Eagles @ Baltimore Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.0496 | Eagles δ=0.73 | Ravens -1½ |
| Minnesota Vikings @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Vikings ρ=1.0434 | Vikings δ=1.13 | Jaguars -2½ |
| Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons | Panthers ρ=1.0379 | Panthers δ=2.75 | Falcons -1 |
| New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins | Dolphins ρ=1.0051 | Dolphins δ=0.08 | Dolphins -2 |
Comments:
Disagreement on Packers @ Saints, Colts @ Chargers, Eagles @ Ravens, Vikings @ Jaguars, and Panthers @ Falcons.
Packers @ Saints should be an intersesting matchup: Saints #1 pass offense vs Packers #3 pass defense; Packers #11 pass offense vs Saints' #26 pass defense. Seems like a situation that favors the Packers to me.
I'm a little surprised the line is going against Indianapolis, too. The Colts seem to be turning things around, and the Chargers... have not. The Chargers are probably out of the post season if they lose this game.
On the other hand, they way the Panthers' offense has been playing lately, it's not much of a suprise the line isn't taking them to beat the Falcons. If the Panthers' problems are as bad as they seem, it won't take long for them to slide out of playoff contention unless they fix it quick.
