Sunday, December 7, 2008

NCAA: APR's top 30+, Week 15

2008 Navigation Links

Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to NCAA.

BCS Standings will be added sometime Sunday afternoon. Update: done.


RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)Oklahoma
BCS=1
12-11.7428
(LW × 1.005)
won by 41
vs Missouri
2 (-)Florida
BCS=2
12-11.7340
(LW × 1.002)
won by 11
vs Alabama
3 (-)Texas
BCS=3
11-11.6577
(LW × 0.996)
Bye
4 (-)Penn-St
BCS=8
11-11.6502
(LW × 1.000)
Bye
5 (-)USC
BCS=5
11-11.5965
(LW × 0.992)
won by 21
at UCLA
6 (-)Boise-St
BCS=9
12-01.5744
(LW × 0.998)
Bye
7 (↑1)Ohio-St
BCS=10
10-21.5623
(LW × 1.003)
Bye
8 (↓1)Texas-Tech
BCS=7
11-11.5572
(LW × 0.997)
Bye
9 (↑1)Utah
BCS=6
12-01.5463
(LW × 0.998)
Bye
10 (↓1)Alabama
BCS=4
12-11.5287
(LW × 0.984)
lost by 11
at Florida
11 (↑1)TCU
BCS=11
10-21.5142
(LW × 0.999)
Bye
12 (↑12)Pittsburgh
BCS=20
9-31.4889
(LW × 1.047)
won by 24
at Connecticut
13 (↑2)Rutgers7-51.4706
(LW × 1.003)
won by 49
vs Louisville
14 (-)Cincinnati
BCS=12
11-21.4654
(LW × 0.998)
won by 5
at Hawaii
15 (↑1)Mississippi
BCS=25
8-41.4570
(LW × 0.996)
Bye
16 (↑4)Iowa8-41.4550
(LW × 1.003)
Bye
17 (↑2)Florida-St8-41.4488
(LW × 0.999)
Bye
18 (↓1)Oregon
BCS=17
9-31.4485
(LW × 0.996)
Bye
19 (↓8)Ball-St
BCS=22
12-11.4476
(LW × 0.954)
lost by 18
at Buffalo
20 (↑1)North-Carolina8-41.4395
(LW × 0.994)
Bye
21 (↓3)West-Virginia8-41.4372
(LW × 0.990)
won by 6
vs South-Florida
22 (↑9)Virginia-Tech
BCS=19
9-41.4331
(LW × 1.043)
won by 18
vs Boston-Coll
23 (↓10)Boston-Coll
BCS=24
9-41.4326
(LW × 0.961)
lost by 18
at Virginia-Tech
24 (↓2)Michigan-St
BCS=18
9-31.4309
(LW × 1.000)
Bye
25 (↓2)Clemson7-51.4206
(LW × 0.995)
Bye
26 (↓1)Georgia-Tech
BCS=14
9-31.4176
(LW × 0.998)
Bye
27 (-)Georgia
BCS=15
9-31.4045
(LW × 0.993)
Bye
28 (-)Oklahoma-St
BCS=13
9-31.3962
(LW × 0.999)
Bye
29 (↓3)Missouri
BCS=21
9-41.3949
(LW × 0.986)
lost by 41
at Oklahoma
30 (↓1)BYU
BCS=16
10-21.3884
(LW × 0.998)
Bye
31 (↓1)Nebraska8-41.3828
(LW × 0.999)
Bye
32 (↑7)Navy8-41.3784
(LW × 1.027)
won by 34
at Army
33 (-)NC-State6-61.3669
(LW × 0.998)
Bye
34 (-)Oregon-St8-41.3602
(LW × 0.997)
Bye
35 (↑1)Northwestern
BCS=23
9-31.3597
(LW × 1.001)
Bye
36 (↑19)Buffalo8-51.3501
(LW × 1.068)
won by 18
vs Ball-St

Comments:

  • APR doesn't have a way to deal with games played on a neutral field (mostly because in the NFL it's not a big deal). In such games, "Home" teams should get at least a little more power, and "away" teams a little less.

  • Oklahoma stays #1. If Florida had kicked that final field goal to make it a 14-point margin, they would have moved up to #1.

  • Either way, assuming the Championship Game is Sooners and Gators, APR makes it very close. Hopefully a good game.

  • It's ridiculous that the ACC held its championship game in Tampa, Florida. That's 1,347 (driving) miles from Boston and 750 miles from Blacksburg. No wonder there wasn't anyone in the stadium to watch.