Tuesday, December 16, 2008

NFL Week 15 Power Rankings

2008 Navigation Links
Read this for a description of APR

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (↑3)Pittsburgh
Steelers
11-31.5122
(LW × 1.028)
won by 4
at Ravens
2 (-)Baltimore
Ravens
9-51.4739
(LW × 0.977)
lost by 4
vs Steelers
3 (↓2)New York
Giants
11-31.4690
(LW × 0.961)
lost by 12
at Cowboys
4 (↓1)Tennessee
Titans
12-21.4557
(LW × 0.989)
lost by 1
at Texans
5 (↑4)Minnesota
Vikings
9-51.4405
(LW × 1.047)
won by 21
at Cardinals
6 (-)Carolina
Panthers
11-31.4296
(LW × 1.013)
won by 20
vs Broncos
7 (↓2)Philadelphia
Eagles
8-5-11.4253
(LW × 0.998)
won by 20
vs Browns
8 (↓1)Atlanta
Falcons
9-51.3982
(LW × 0.999)
won by 3
vs Buccaneers
9 (↓1)Indianapolis
Colts
10-41.3902
(LW × 0.995)
won by 10
vs Lions
10 (-)Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
9-51.3762
(LW × 1.004)
lost by 3
at Falcons
11 (↑1)Dallas
Cowboys
9-51.3526
(LW × 1.037)
won by 12
vs Giants
12 (↑1)Houston
Texans
7-71.3342
(LW × 1.029)
won by 1
vs Titans
13 (↓2)New Orleans
Saints
7-71.3292
(LW × 0.986)
lost by 3
at Bears
14 (↑1)New England
Patriots
9-51.3225
(LW × 1.022)
won by 23
at Raiders
15 (↑3)Chicago
Bears
8-61.3129
(LW × 1.024)
won by 3
vs Saints
16 (↑1)Green Bay
Packers
5-91.2894
(LW × 0.997)
lost by 4
at Jaguars
17 (↓1)San Diego
Chargers
6-81.2818
(LW × 0.991)
won by 1
at Chiefs
18 (↓4)New York
Jets
9-51.2788
(LW × 0.987)
won by 4
vs Bills
19 (↑2)Miami
Dolphins
9-51.2519
(LW × 0.997)
won by 5
vs 49ers
20 (-)Denver
Broncos
8-61.2287
(LW × 0.970)
lost by 20
at Panthers
21 (↓2)Arizona
Cardinals
8-61.2209
(LW × 0.963)
lost by 21
vs Vikings
22 (↑3)Jacksonville
Jaguars
5-91.2107
(LW × 1.032)
won by 4
vs Packers
23 (-)San Francisco
49ers
5-91.1974
(LW × 0.996)
lost by 5
at Dolphins
24 (-)Cleveland
Browns
4-101.1775
(LW × 0.981)
lost by 20
at Eagles
25 (↓3)Washington
Redskins
7-71.1700
(LW × 0.972)
lost by 7
at Bengals
26 (-)Buffalo
Bills
6-81.1496
(LW × 1.002)
lost by 4
at Jets
27 (↑2)Cincinnati
Bengals
2-11-11.1372
(LW × 1.033)
won by 7
vs Redskins
28 (↑2)Seattle
Seahawks
3-111.1053
(LW × 1.004)
won by 3
at Rams
29 (↓1)Kansas City
Chiefs
2-121.0943
(LW × 0.984)
lost by 1
vs Chargers
30 (↓3)Oakland
Raiders
3-111.0829
(LW × 0.960)
lost by 23
vs Patriots
31 (-)Detroit
Lions
0-141.0551
(LW × 1.032)
lost by 10
at Colts
32 (-)St. Louis
Rams
2-120.9917
(LW × 0.988)
lost by 3
vs Seahawks

Comments:

  • Playoff standings detailed here.

  • The Steelers get their turn at the top spot. The Ravens stay at #2, thanks to losses by the Giants and Titans.

  • The Vikings are a top 5 team. This week, anyway. They've won 4 in a row, but with the Falcons and Giants to close out the season, it will be tough to extend that to 6.

  • The Colts have now won 7 in a row. They clinch a wildcard spot with one more win.

  • The Saints are the only NFC South team out of the top 10.

  • The Cardinals are the only NFC West team out of the bottom 10.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Dolphins (+8)
The Dolphins have put together a string of close wins against some of the leagues weaker teams. 2 points over the Seahawks, 2 points over the Raiders, 13 points over the Bills, and now 5 points over the 49ers. I'm sure the Dolphins are more than happy with these wins, but they don't bode well for the Dolphins if they make it to the playoffs.

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Packers (-9)
I have no good explanation why APR has the Packers at #16. There's no way they've been playing like a middle-of-the-pack team. No way they should be above the Jets, Dolphins, or even the Broncos. I suspect APR needs to discount early-season games more than it currently does, especially when it gets to the final stretch.

Update: DVOA has the Packers ranked #11.