Read this
for a description of SRS.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to
NCAA.
SRS absolutely owned the Bowl game picks (results below). Thus, I present the SRS-based Top 30+:
Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
1 (↑1) | Florida AP=1 | 13-1 | 38.7582 (LW + 0.970) | won by 10 at Oklahoma |
2 (↓1) | Oklahoma AP=5 | 12-2 | 36.6529 (LW - 1.603) | lost by 10 vs Florida |
3 (↑1) | USC AP=3 | 12-1 | 34.1979 (LW + 0.718) | won by 14 vs Penn-St |
4 (↓1) | Texas AP=4 | 12-1 | 32.0386 (LW - 1.746) | won by 3 vs Ohio-St |
5 (-) | Penn-St AP=8 | 11-2 | 28.3959 (LW - 1.589) | lost by 14 at USC |
6 (↑1) | TCU AP=7 | 11-2 | 22.5440 (LW - 0.508) | won by 1 vs Boise-St |
7 (↓1) | Texas-Tech AP=12 | 11-2 | 22.2056 (LW - 2.582) | lost by 13 vs Mississippi |
8 (-) | Missouri AP=19 | 10-4 | 21.0858 (LW - 1.779) | won by 7 at Northwestern |
9 (-) | Ohio-St AP=9 | 10-3 | 20.5819 (LW - 0.103) | lost by 3 at Texas |
10 (-) | Alabama AP=6 | 12-2 | 20.0269 (LW - 0.656) | lost by 14 vs Utah |
11 (↑2) | Utah AP=2 | 13-0 | 19.6823 (LW + 0.805) | won by 14 at Alabama |
12 (-) | Boise-St AP=11 | 12-1 | 19.0201 (LW - 0.345) | lost by 1 at TCU |
13 (↑3) | Mississippi AP=14 | 9-4 | 18.8638 (LW + 1.731) | won by 13 at Texas-Tech |
14 (↑1) | Oregon AP=10 | 10-3 | 18.6227 (LW + 0.706) | won by 11 vs Oklahoma-St |
15 (↓1) | Iowa AP=20 | 9-4 | 18.2946 (LW - 0.049) | won by 21 vs South-Carolina |
16 (↓5) | Oklahoma-St AP=16 | 9-4 | 17.7462 (LW - 1.972) | lost by 11 at Oregon |
17 (-) | California AP=rv(128) | 9-4 | 16.6901 (LW - 0.217) | won by 7 vs Miami-FL |
18 (-) | Arizona AP=rv(4) | 8-5 | 15.8185 (LW + 0.261) | won by 10 vs BYU |
19 (↑2) | Florida-St AP=21 | 9-4 | 14.6236 (LW + 1.571) | won by 29 vs Wisconsin |
20 (↓1) | Oregon-St AP=18 | 9-4 | 14.4389 (LW - 0.223) | won by 3 at Pittsburgh |
21 (↓1) | Georgia AP=13 | 10-3 | 13.6219 (LW + 0.493) | won by 12 at Michigan-St |
22 (-) | Nebraska AP=rv(64) | 9-4 | 12.4898 (LW - 0.522) | won by 5 vs Clemson |
23 (-) | North-Carolina | 8-5 | 11.7904 (LW - 0.580) | lost by 1 vs West-Virginia |
24 (↑9) | Tulsa AP=rv(61) | 11-3 | 11.1922 (LW + 1.935) | won by 32 at Ball-St |
25 (↓1) | Kansas AP=rv(2) | 8-5 | 11.0389 (LW + 0.021) | won by 21 at Minnesota |
26 (↑1) | Pittsburgh AP=rv(106) | 9-4 | 10.3081 (LW - 0.162) | lost by 3 vs Oregon-St |
27 (↓2) | Clemson | 7-6 | 10.2854 (LW - 0.454) | lost by 5 at Nebraska |
28 (↓2) | BYU AP=25 | 10-3 | 9.9352 (LW - 0.580) | lost by 10 at Arizona |
29 (-) | Rutgers AP=rv(11) | 8-5 | 9.5713 (LW - 0.334) | won by 6 vs NC-State |
30 (↓2) | Boston-Coll AP=rv(11) | 9-5 | 9.4115 (LW - 0.515) | lost by 2 at Vanderbilt |
31 (↑3) | Wake-Forest | 8-5 | 9.1329 (LW + 0.535) | won by 10 at Navy |
32 (↑11) | LSU AP=rv(95) | 8-5 | 8.9902 (LW + 3.144) | won by 35 at Georgia-Tech |
33 (↑2) | Virginia-Tech AP=15 | 10-4 | 8.8271 (LW + 0.424) | won by 13 at Cincinnati |
34 (↓2) | Michigan-St AP=24 | 9-4 | 8.4315 (LW - 1.164) | lost by 12 vs Georgia |
35 (↑2) | West-Virginia AP=23 | 9-4 | 7.8261 (LW + 0.300) | won by 1 at North-Carolina |
36 (-) | South-Carolina | 7-6 | 7.6455 (LW - 0.375) | lost by 21 at Iowa |
37 (↑1) | Miami-FL | 7-6 | 7.2325 (LW - 0.003) | lost by 7 at California |
38 (↓8) | Ball-St AP=rv(13) | 12-2 | 6.6882 (LW - 3.158) | lost by 32 vs Tulsa |
39 (↓8) | Georgia-Tech AP=22 | 9-4 | 6.5934 (LW - 3.075) | lost by 35 vs LSU |
40 (↑6) | Connecticut | 8-5 | 6.3192 (LW + 0.836) | won by 18 vs Buffalo |
Other teams of note: | ||||
43 (↑1) | Northwestern AP=rv(53) | 9-4 | 5.6839 (LW + 0.027) | lost by 7 vs Missouri |
64 (↓8) | Rice AP=rv(8) | 9-4 | 0.9500 (LW - 2.245) | lost by 24 at W-Michigan |
Final BCS AP rankings will be added after they are released. (No post-bowl-games BCS rankings? How very odd.)
Pick Standings
Bowl games were picked in this post.
SRS: 22-12 (64.7%) Line: 17-17 (50.0%) APR: 12-22 (35.3%)
SRS' record isn't that impressive by regular-season standards. But for some reason, the Line and especially APR just tanked.
Winning Teams Unanimously Picked To Lose
- Florida Atlantic (Motor City Bowl)
- Louisiana Tech (Independence Bowl)
- Western Michigan (Texas Bowl)
- Vanderbilt (Music City Bowl)
- LSU (Chick-fil-A Bowl)
- Mississippi (Cotton Bowl)
- Tulsa (GMAC Bowl)
Comments:
The usual suspects (Florida, Oklahoma, USC, Texas, and Penn State) are still at the top, but there's a lot of differences as you get lower down.
APR was only right twice picking against SRS (Oregon in the Holiday Bowl and Utah in the Sugar Bowl).
Clearly, APR needs to be adjusted for the NCAA.
Lowest ranked teams (according to SRS) to win: Colorado-St (#78), Louisiana-Tech (#89), and Florida-Atlantic (#96).
AP ranks Utah #2? Do they really want to give an unbeaten season that much weight?