Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com.
Picks for week 16.
Game | APR | SRS | Line |
St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=2.7143 | Cardinals δ=17.67 | Cardinals -14 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints | Saints ρ=2.5513 | Saints δ=20.69 | Saints -14 |
Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers | 49ers ρ=2.4941 | 49ers δ=14.90 | 49ers -12 |
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears | Vikings ρ=2.0279 | Vikings δ=11.32 | Vikings -7 |
Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers | Packers ρ=1.9427 | Packers δ=11.47 | Packers -14 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins | Cowboys ρ=1.7314 | Cowboys δ=9.73 | Cowboys -7 |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Cincinnati Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.7040 | Bengals δ=12.62 | Bengals -14 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ New England Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.6923 | Patriots δ=15.60 | Patriots -7½ |
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts | Colts ρ=1.4004 | Colts δ=4.82 | Colts -5½ |
Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles | Eagles ρ=1.3638 | Eagles δ=5.06 | Eagles -7 |
San Diego Chargers @ Tennessee Titans | Chargers ρ=1.3428 | Chargers δ=7.26 | Titans -3 |
Oakland Raiders @ Cleveland Browns | Raiders ρ=1.2140 | Raiders δ=0.09 | Browns -2 |
Buffalo Bills @ Atlanta Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.1326 | Falcons δ=6.32 | Falcons -8 |
Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins | Dolphins ρ=1.0903 | Dolphins δ=0.29 | Dolphins -3 |
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Ravens ρ=1.0739 | Ravens δ=8.14 | Steelers -3 |
Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants | Giants ρ=1.0281 | Giants δ=4.52 | Giants -7 |
Comments:
Reports are the Bills will start Brian Brohm at quarterback on Sunday. He's the guy who lost out the backup job in Green Bay, and was demoted to the practice squad at the beginning of the season. Adjust your expectations accordingly.
For the third time in four weeks, the Vikings play a prime-time road game against a lesser opponent. Things are sure to get even uglier for Childress and Favre if they can't put together a solid win in this game.
There are a number of AFC matchups with playoff implications this week. The Patriots can clinch the AFC North with a win (which would also likely knock the Jaguars out of contention). But the Ravens and Broncos both have tough opponents, which could open the door for one of those 7-7 teams to sneak into a wildcard spot.
All three of the NFC wildcard wannabe teams are favored to win this week, although the Giants have the toughest matchup. Next week won't be any easier, when they travel to Minnesota to face a Vikings squad that is sure to be looking for some momentum going into the playoffs.