2009
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this for a description of APR.
Power Rankings For Week 15
| Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
| 1 (↑1) | New Orleans Saints | 13-1 | 5.9564 (LW × 1.027) | lost by 7 vs Cowboys |
| 2 (↓1) | Indianapolis Colts | 14-0 | 5.7940 (LW × 0.912) | won by 4 at Jaguars |
| 3 (↑4) | Philadelphia Eagles | 10-4 | 5.3586 (LW × 1.255) | won by 14 vs 49ers |
| 4 (-) | San Diego Chargers | 11-3 | 5.1221 (LW × 1.106) | won by 3 vs Bengals |
| 5 (-) | New England Patriots | 9-5 | 5.1146 (LW × 1.107) | won by 7 at Bills |
| 6 (↑9) | Dallas Cowboys | 9-5 | 4.9438 (LW × 1.384) | won by 7 at Saints |
| 7 (↓4) | Minnesota Vikings | 11-3 | 4.2061 (LW × 0.866) | lost by 19 at Panthers |
| 8 (↑3) | New York Jets | 7-7 | 4.1374 (LW × 1.034) | lost by 3 vs Falcons |
| 9 (↑13) | New York Giants | 8-6 | 4.0710 (LW × 1.335) | won by 33 at Redskins |
| 10 (↓2) | Green Bay Packers | 9-5 | 3.9921 (LW × 0.956) | lost by 1 at Steelers |
| 11 (↑12) | Carolina Panthers | 6-8 | 3.9595 (LW × 1.365) | won by 19 vs Vikings |
| 12 (-) | Denver Broncos | 8-6 | 3.9291 (LW × 1.029) | lost by 1 vs Raiders |
| 13 (↓7) | Arizona Cardinals | 9-5 | 3.9255 (LW × 0.882) | won by 7 at Lions |
| 14 (↓5) | Tennessee Titans | 7-7 | 3.8144 (LW × 0.949) | won by 3 vs Dolphins |
| 15 (↑1) | Baltimore Ravens | 8-6 | 3.6920 (LW × 1.067) | won by 24 vs Bears |
| 16 (↓2) | Miami Dolphins | 7-7 | 3.6909 (LW × 1.027) | lost by 3 at Titans |
| 17 (↑4) | Atlanta Falcons | 7-7 | 3.5796 (LW × 1.168) | won by 3 at Jets |
| 18 (↑1) | Pittsburgh Steelers | 7-7 | 3.4380 (LW × 1.080) | won by 1 vs Packers |
| 19 (↓2) | Cincinnati Bengals | 9-5 | 3.4161 (LW × 1.010) | lost by 3 at Chargers |
| 20 (↓7) | Houston Texans | 7-7 | 3.3854 (LW × 0.887) | won by 3 at Rams |
| 21 (↓11) | San Francisco 49ers | 6-8 | 3.3707 (LW × 0.840) | lost by 14 at Eagles |
| 22 (↓2) | Buffalo Bills | 5-9 | 3.1606 (LW × 1.011) | lost by 7 vs Patriots |
| 23 (↓5) | Jacksonville Jaguars | 7-7 | 3.0223 (LW × 0.946) | lost by 4 vs Colts |
| 24 (-) | Washington Redskins | 4-10 | 2.8554 (LW × 1.056) | lost by 33 vs Giants |
| 25 (↑2) | Oakland Raiders | 5-9 | 2.6788 (LW × 1.262) | won by 1 at Broncos |
| 26 (↑4) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2-12 | 2.3347 (LW × 1.303) | won by 17 at Seahawks |
| 27 (↑2) | Cleveland Browns | 3-11 | 2.2065 (LW × 1.151) | won by 7 at Chiefs |
| 28 (↓2) | Chicago Bears | 5-9 | 2.0742 (LW × 0.930) | lost by 24 at Ravens |
| 29 (↓4) | Seattle Seahawks | 5-9 | 2.0549 (LW × 0.838) | lost by 17 vs Buccaneers |
| 30 (↓2) | Kansas City Chiefs | 3-11 | 2.0048 (LW × 1.011) | lost by 7 vs Browns |
| 31 (-) | St. Louis Rams | 1-13 | 1.4462 (LW × 0.971) | lost by 3 vs Texans |
| 32 (-) | Detroit Lions | 2-12 | 1.3515 (LW × 1.009) | lost by 7 vs Cardinals |
Comments
In spite of their loss, the Saints actually gain in power this week, thanks in part to three upset wins by the other NFC South teams.
The Colts, on the other hand, get no help from the teams they've beaten to help balance out their close win over the mid-level Jaguars.
The Cowboys still have a couple tough division games left, but for the first time since mid-November, they had a solid win over a quality opponent.
The Cowboys jump in the rankings also indirectly makes the Giants look better, and so they jump from the back of the tightly-clustered middle group to the front.
Somehow the AFC playoff race is even tighter than before. Six 7-7 teams are all just a game behind the two would-be wildcard teams, and two division titles are still open.
The Titans have now won more games than any other team to start 0-6 since 1978. And they're still alive for a wildcard spot, although their tie-breaker status puts them behind four of the other wanna-be teams.
The Rams are now the only remaining team without at least two wins. Given their remaining schedule (at Cardinals, vs 49ers), they are likely to stay that way. I wonder if Ndamukong Suh likes St. Louis?
Teams ESPN likes more than APR:
- Bengals (+12)
- Everything I said in this spot about the Bengals last week still applies, except that they are now 2-3 in their last 5. (Of course, the same things also apply to the Giants, but they got a big boost from the win-happy APR.)
Teams APR likes more than ESPN:
- Jets (-11)
- More evidence, I think, that the current configuration of APR is giving too much weight to wins, and not enough to losses. The Jets are nowhere near a top-10 team at this point.
- Panthers (-10)
- The Panthers are benefitting from the same halo effect, but at least they got a win this week. Giving the Vikings just their third loss of the season is worth something.
