2009
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this for a description of APR.
Power Rankings For Week 13
| Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
| 1 (↑1) | Indianapolis Colts | 13-0 | 6.3555 (LW × 1.103) | won by 12 vs Broncos |
| 2 (↓1) | New Orleans Saints | 13-0 | 5.8007 (LW × 0.967) | won by 3 at Falcons |
| 3 (↑4) | Minnesota Vikings | 11-2 | 4.8576 (LW × 1.149) | won by 20 vs Bengals |
| 4 (↓1) | San Diego Chargers | 10-3 | 4.6330 (LW × 0.958) | won by 3 at Cowboys |
| 5 (-) | New England Patriots | 8-5 | 4.6201 (LW × 1.029) | won by 10 vs Panthers |
| 6 (↓2) | Arizona Cardinals | 8-5 | 4.4512 (LW × 0.932) | lost by 15 at 49ers |
| 7 (↑1) | Philadelphia Eagles | 9-4 | 4.2701 (LW × 1.039) | won by 7 at Giants |
| 8 (↑3) | Green Bay Packers | 9-4 | 4.1737 (LW × 1.071) | won by 7 at Bears |
| 9 (↑3) | Tennessee Titans | 6-7 | 4.0181 (LW × 1.036) | won by 40 vs Rams |
| 10 (↑11) | San Francisco 49ers | 6-7 | 4.0116 (LW × 1.317) | won by 15 vs Cardinals |
| 11 (↓2) | New York Jets | 7-6 | 4.0030 (LW × 1.015) | won by 23 at Buccaneers |
| 12 (↓6) | Denver Broncos | 8-5 | 3.8184 (LW × 0.874) | lost by 12 at Colts |
| 13 (↑5) | Houston Texans | 6-7 | 3.8170 (LW × 1.108) | won by 27 vs Seahawks |
| 14 (↑2) | Miami Dolphins | 7-6 | 3.5950 (LW × 1.035) | won by 4 at Jaguars |
| 15 (↓5) | Dallas Cowboys | 8-5 | 3.5719 (LW × 0.917) | lost by 3 vs Chargers |
| 16 (↑1) | Baltimore Ravens | 7-6 | 3.4596 (LW × 1.002) | won by 45 vs Lions |
| 17 (↓4) | Cincinnati Bengals | 9-4 | 3.3832 (LW × 0.943) | lost by 20 at Vikings |
| 18 (↑1) | Jacksonville Jaguars | 7-6 | 3.1957 (LW × 0.987) | lost by 4 vs Dolphins |
| 19 (↓5) | Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-7 | 3.1846 (LW × 0.894) | lost by 7 at Browns |
| 20 (↑2) | Buffalo Bills | 5-8 | 3.1247 (LW × 1.039) | won by 6 at Chiefs |
| 21 (↑2) | Atlanta Falcons | 6-7 | 3.0658 (LW × 1.040) | lost by 3 vs Saints |
| 22 (↓7) | New York Giants | 7-6 | 3.0486 (LW × 0.875) | lost by 7 vs Eagles |
| 23 (↓3) | Carolina Panthers | 5-8 | 2.8997 (LW × 0.929) | lost by 10 at Patriots |
| 24 (↑2) | Washington Redskins | 4-9 | 2.7042 (LW × 1.104) | won by 21 at Raiders |
| 25 (↓1) | Seattle Seahawks | 5-8 | 2.4509 (LW × 0.986) | lost by 27 at Texans |
| 26 (↑2) | Chicago Bears | 5-8 | 2.2302 (LW × 1.021) | lost by 7 vs Packers |
| 27 (↓2) | Oakland Raiders | 4-9 | 2.1223 (LW × 0.855) | lost by 21 vs Redskins |
| 28 (↓1) | Kansas City Chiefs | 3-10 | 1.9820 (LW × 0.882) | lost by 6 vs Bills |
| 29 (↑2) | Cleveland Browns | 2-11 | 1.9176 (LW × 1.389) | won by 7 vs Steelers |
| 30 (↓1) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-12 | 1.7919 (LW × 0.961) | lost by 23 vs Jets |
| 31 (↓1) | St. Louis Rams | 1-12 | 1.4898 (LW × 0.985) | lost by 40 at Titans |
| 32 (-) | Detroit Lions | 2-11 | 1.3389 (LW × 1.041) | lost by 45 at Ravens |
Comments
You can see the current playoff picture here, and current playoff scenarios here.
The Saints' string of close wins against lesser opponents has finally cost them the top spot.
The Cowoboys' problems go back farther than December 1st. They haven't had a win over a good team since they beat the Eagles November 11th. Since then, they've only beaten the Raiders and Redskins.
Suddenly the 49ers are a top 10 team? Clearly APR needs more tweaking; wins are getting too much weight compared to losses (also note the Texans up in spite of being 1-4 in last 5).
The Cardinals' lost a golden opportunity to clinch the NFC West this week, and in the process gave the 49ers the head-to-head tie breaker. The good news (for the Cardinals) is the 49ers (whose sole road win came week 1 at the Cardinals) must travel to Philadelphia to play the Eagles next week. If the Cardinals take care of business at the Lions, they could still clinch the division next week.
The NFC wildcard race could easily come down to the final week of the season. The Cardinals shouldn't assume the Packers won't have anything to play for when they meet in Glendale for their regular season-ending matchup.
With the Broncos and Jaguars both losing this week, the AFC playoffs are even more wide-open than last week. There are seven teams within a game (and the right tie-breakers) of the final wildcard spot.
Teams ESPN likes more than APR:
- Bengals (+10)
- The Benagls are just 2-2 in their last four, including a 10 point win over the same Lions that got blown out 3-48 Sunday. The Bengals' offense is just too anemic for that team to be in the top 10.
- Giants (+8)
- The Giants haven't beaten a high-ranked team except for the Cowboys, and even that's looking iffy these days.
Teams APR likes more than ESPN:
- 49ers (-11)
- As mentioned above, I think ARP has the 49ers ranked too high. Still, I think the 49ers have shown potential this season. But they need to win on the road, and outside the division.
- Titans (-8)
- Maybe they're ranked too high. And they have been taking advantage of weaker teams in the league. But the Titans are now on a 6-1 streak, and that's gotta be worth something.
