Tuesday, December 29, 2009

NFL Week 16 Power Rankings

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Read this for a description of APR.

Power Rankings For Week 16

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)New Orleans
Saints
13-25.9120
(LW × 0.993)
lost by 3
vs Buccaneers
2 (↑3)New England
Patriots
10-55.7094
(LW × 1.116)
won by 28
vs Jaguars
3 (↑1)San Diego
Chargers
12-35.5786
(LW × 1.089)
won by 25
at Titans
4 (↑4)New York
Jets
8-75.5151
(LW × 1.333)
won by 14
at Colts
5 (↓2)Philadelphia
Eagles
11-45.4367
(LW × 1.015)
won by 3
vs Broncos
6 (-)Dallas
Cowboys
10-55.2119
(LW × 1.054)
won by 17
at Redskins
7 (↓5)Indianapolis
Colts
14-15.1606
(LW × 0.891)
lost by 14
vs Jets
8 (↑3)Carolina
Panthers
7-84.8388
(LW × 1.222)
won by 32
at Giants
9 (↑8)Atlanta
Falcons
8-74.3306
(LW × 1.210)
won by 28
vs Bills
10 (-)Green Bay
Packers
10-54.3113
(LW × 1.080)
won by 38
vs Seahawks
11 (↓4)Minnesota
Vikings
11-44.0997
(LW × 0.975)
lost by 6
at Bears
12 (-)Denver
Broncos
8-73.8249
(LW × 0.973)
lost by 3
at Eagles
13 (-)Arizona
Cardinals
10-53.8185
(LW × 0.973)
won by 21
vs Rams
14 (↑1)Baltimore
Ravens
8-73.7979
(LW × 1.029)
lost by 3
at Steelers
15 (↓6)New York
Giants
8-73.7834
(LW × 0.929)
lost by 32
vs Panthers
16 (-)Miami
Dolphins
7-83.7384
(LW × 1.013)
lost by 7
vs Texans
17 (↑3)Houston
Texans
8-73.6937
(LW × 1.091)
won by 7
at Dolphins
18 (-)Pittsburgh
Steelers
8-73.6925
(LW × 1.074)
won by 3
vs Ravens
19 (-)Cincinnati
Bengals
10-53.6537
(LW × 1.070)
won by 7
vs Chiefs
20 (↓6)Tennessee
Titans
7-83.4791
(LW × 0.912)
lost by 25
vs Chargers
21 (-)San Francisco
49ers
7-83.2935
(LW × 0.977)
won by 14
vs Lions
22 (-)Buffalo
Bills
5-103.1965
(LW × 1.011)
lost by 28
at Falcons
23 (↑3)Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
3-123.1071
(LW × 1.331)
won by 3
at Saints
24 (↓1)Jacksonville
Jaguars
7-82.9003
(LW × 0.960)
lost by 28
at Patriots
25 (↑3)Chicago
Bears
6-92.7670
(LW × 1.334)
won by 6
vs Vikings
26 (↑1)Cleveland
Browns
4-112.6855
(LW × 1.217)
won by 14
vs Raiders
27 (↓3)Washington
Redskins
4-112.6586
(LW × 0.931)
lost by 17
vs Cowboys
28 (↓3)Oakland
Raiders
5-102.4995
(LW × 0.933)
lost by 14
at Browns
29 (-)Seattle
Seahawks
5-101.9391
(LW × 0.944)
lost by 38
at Packers
30 (-)Kansas City
Chiefs
3-121.9391
(LW × 0.967)
lost by 7
at Bengals
31 (-)St. Louis
Rams
1-141.4069
(LW × 0.973)
lost by 21
at Cardinals
32 (-)Detroit
Lions
2-131.3595
(LW × 1.006)
lost by 14
at 49ers

Comments

  • All the NFC playoff teams have been determined, though the precise seeding will not be determined until after next week's games.

  • On the AFC side, only the Titans were eliminated this week, so 7 teams are still alive for the two wildcard spots. The Jets and Ravens are the two teams with "win-and-in" scenarios.

  • The Cardinals have won 10 games in a season for the first time since 1976, when they were still in St. Louis.

  • APR does not take into account when teams rest their players, and so the Colts loss costs them dearly in the standings. They would have taken over the #1 spot with a 7 point win.

  • And the Jets "win" over the previously unbeaten Colts pushes them to even more ridiculous hights. Although with the Saints, Vikings, and Colts all losing, the top is looking a little soft anyway.

  • The Panthers get another big upset win, and climb even higher in the rankings.

  • The Bengals are 1-3 against teams ranked higher than #14 this week. Bengal fans may be well advised to prepare for a quick exit from the playoffs.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Bengals (+12)
Another week, another close game against a bad team for the Bengals. At least they won this time.

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Panthers (-11)
The Panthers add another upset win to this year's resumé. Since they stopped turning the ball over on offense, they've looked a lot better.

Jets (-10)
As mentioned above, APR probably giving them too much credit for a win over a Colts team that wasn't trying. On the other hand, they did get a win, which is more than they can say for last week.

Patriots (-8)
The Patriots are another team benefitting from APR's love of big wins. Yeah, they beat out the playoff wannabe Jaguars by 4 touchdowns. But the Patriots are just 2-5 on the road. That's not good for the playoffs, and that's not a top-5 team.