Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com, except for Saints @ Panthers, which is from footballlocks.com.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams | 49ers ρ=2.3409 | 49ers δ=16.97 | 49ers -7 |
| Washington Redskins @ San Diego Chargers | Chargers ρ=2.0983 | Chargers δ=12.40 | Chargers -4 |
| Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions | Bears ρ=2.0352 | Bears δ=10.09 | Bears -3 |
| Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.9725 | Broncos δ=12.66 | Broncos -13 |
| Tennessee Titans @ Seattle Seahawks | Titans ρ=1.7942 | Titans δ=7.01 | Titans -4½ |
| Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills | Colts ρ=1.6145 | Colts δ=12.55 | Bills -7½ |
| New England Patriots @ Houston Texans | Patriots ρ=1.5457 | Patriots δ=10.78 | Texans -8 |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Oakland Raiders | Ravens ρ=1.5195 | Ravens δ=19.07 | Ravens -10½ |
| Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets | Jets ρ=1.5094 | Jets δ=3.94 | Jets -10 |
| Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Falcons ρ=1.3938 | Falcons δ=10.83 | Falcons -2½ |
| New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers | Saints ρ=1.2218 | Saints δ=9.41 | Panthers -7 |
| Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals | Packers ρ=1.1290 | Packers δ=4.87 | Cardinals -3 |
| New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.0836 | Vikings δ=3.01 | Vikings -9 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cleveland Browns | Jaguars ρ=1.0800 | Jaguars δ=2.89 | Browns -1 |
| Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys | Eagles ρ=1.0431 | Eagles δ=1.77 | Cowboys -3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins | Dolphins ρ=1.0124 | Dolphins δ=0.17 | Steelers -3 |
Comments:
I've mentioned this before, but it bears repeating: APR and SRS do not take into account teams that have clinched and will be resting starters.
A combination of the Patriot's road problems and resting starters means the Texans could have a chance for the franchise's first winning season.
The 49ers have a chance to clinch a non-losing season this week, which would be their first since 2002.
Thanks to the Vikings loss on MNF, the Saints have clinched the #1 seed. But you would think they would want to avoid going into the playoffs on a 3-game losing streak.
