Line values taken from yahoo.com, and are for comparison purposes only.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.3607 | Ravens δ=6.6 | Ravens -7 |
| Vikings @ Jets | Jets ρ=1.3249 | Jets δ=14.0 | Jets -4 |
| Bears @ Panthers | Bears ρ=1.2196 | Bears δ=11.0 | Bears -2 |
| Chargers @ Raiders | Chargers ρ=1.1936 | Chargers δ=17.2 | Chargers -6½ |
| Rams @ Lions | Rams ρ=1.1429 | Rams δ=5.8 | Lions -3 |
| Chiefs @ Colts | Chiefs ρ=1.1373 | Chiefs δ=5.8 | Colts -8 |
| Eagles @ 49ers | Eagles ρ=1.1283 | Eagles δ=11.9 | 49ers -3½ |
| Giants @ Texans | Texans ρ=1.1225 | Texans δ=4.3 | Texans -3 |
| Packers @ Redskins | Packers ρ=1.1138 | Packers δ=5.1 | Packers -2½ |
| Buccaneers @ Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.0652 | Bengals δ=3.4 | Bengals -7 |
| Falcons @ Browns | Falcons ρ=1.0562 | Falcons δ=2.5 | Falcons -3 |
| Saints @ Cardinals | Saints ρ=1.0526 | Saints δ=10.6 | Saints -7 |
| Jaguars @ Bills | Jaguars ρ=1.0485 | Jaguars δ=5.9 | Jaguars -1 |
| Titans @ Cowboys | Titans ρ=1.0333 | Titans δ=8.5 | Cowboys -6½ |
Bye: Dolphins, Patriots, Steelers, Seahawks
Comments:
10 Unanimous picks again this week, and full agreement between APR and SRS.
Not a lot of confidence for Jaguars @ Bills. Only 2 of yahoo's 6 line sources are giving a line on this game.
Possible upset #1: Chargers @ Raiders (the Chargers are 0-2 on the road so far this year, including a loss to a very weak Seahawks team).
Possible upset #2: Chiefs @ Colts. The Colts just don't seem to be the same invincible-in-the-regular-season team we've grown used to for most of the last 10 years. If they're careless about underestimating the improved Chiefs, they could be in for a shock.
The Saints should be able to take care of the Cardinals. But can they win by 7 points? Their biggest margin of victory so far is 5 points, and that includes games against the 49ers and Panthers.
