Thursday, December 9, 2010

NFL: Week 13 Strength of Schedule

RankTeamSOS
unplayed
RankSOS
played
1Bears0.9761230.8643
2Bills0.959210.9293
3Bengals0.959140.9233
4Packers0.9458170.8946
5Saints0.9337310.8345
6Vikings0.9299100.9054
7Giants0.9256260.8634
8Panthers0.9235180.8907
9Patriots0.9231120.9041
10Jets0.9204110.9049
11Dolphins0.916620.9273
12Lions0.916030.9270
13Redskins0.907070.9109
14Browns0.901160.9171
15Eagles0.8937150.8984
16Texans0.890890.9059
17Seahawks0.8887300.8364
18Titans0.8874140.8990
19Colts0.8838190.8897
20Chiefs0.8739290.8386
21Ravens0.8735130.8990
22Cowboys0.872480.9066
23Raiders0.8708280.8533
24Jaguars0.8677210.8872
25Rams0.8577320.8170
26Buccaneers0.8439240.8642
27Steelers0.838650.9212
28Broncos0.8334200.8878
29Chargers0.8203270.8598
3049ers0.8051250.8636
31Cardinals0.7969220.8692
32Falcons0.7796160.8956

Comments:

  • This was computed using the Week 13 power rankings. As before, the "unplayed" strength is a combination of the powers of teams for unplayed games, and the "played" strength is from powers of teams for played games.

  • In the Week 10 Strength of Schedule I posted, the strength of upcoming games was a lot more compressed (0.83 to 0.96).

  • I've bolded all the likely playoff teams, along with those that seem like they have a chance to get in (obvioulsly not all of them will).

  • The Bears' and Packers' remaining schedule is pretty tough—in both cases, 3 of their four remaining games are against teams contending for the playoffs (including each other in week 17).

  • Even with a weaker schedule, the Chargers are in trouble. If they win out, they'll still need help to win the AFC West, or more help to qualify for a wildcard.

  • The Colts' chances pretty much come down to beating the Jaguars week 15 (and taking care of business with the Titans). If they do that, they'll win the AFC South.