Game | APR | SRS | Line |
---|---|---|---|
Chiefs @ Lions | Lions ρ=2.3771 | Lions δ=41.0 | Lions -9 |
Texans @ Dolphins | Texans ρ=2.0840 | Texans δ=41.0 | Texans -3 |
Eagles @ Falcons | Eagles ρ=1.7400 | Eagles δ=36.0 | Eagles -2½ |
Bengals @ Broncos | Bengals ρ=1.4537 | Bengals δ=13.0 | Broncos -4½ |
Packers @ Panthers | Packers ρ=1.3774 | Packers δ=15.0 | Packers -10½ |
Bears @ Saints | Bears ρ=1.3087 | Bears δ=26.0 | Saints -7 |
Rams @ Giants | Giants ρ=1.2461 | Giants δ=4.0 | Giants -4½ |
Buccaneers @ Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.2308 | push δ=0.0 | Vikings -3 |
Cowboys @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.1161 | 49ers δ=19.0 | Cowboys -3 |
Ravens @ Titans | Ravens ρ=1.1021 | Ravens δ=30.0 | Ravens -6½ |
Browns @ Colts | Browns ρ=1.1010 | Browns δ=17.0 | Browns -2 |
Cardinals @ Redskins | Cardinals ρ=1.0504 | Redskins δ=7.0 | Redskins -4 |
Chargers @ Patriots | Chargers ρ=1.0447 | Patriots δ=7.0 | Patriots -7 |
Seahawks @ Steelers | Seahawks ρ=1.0386 | Seahawks δ=12.0 | Steelers -15 |
Raiders @ Bills | Raiders ρ=1.0151 | Bills δ=31.0 | Bills -4 |
Jaguars @ Jets | push ρ=1.0000 | Jets δ=1.0 | Jets -10 |
Comments:
For the first time, there are a couple of matchups of teams tied in the rankings. One each for APR (Jaguars @ Jets) and SRS (Buccaneers @ Vikings). These will be counted as ties in the result tallies.
Bears @ Saints will be a marquee matchup of the afternoon, and a game that the Saints will need to win to avoid falling to 0-2. It will definitely be interesting to see how Brees does against the Bears pass rush, especially Julius Peppers.
APR's pick of the Raiders seems pretty flukey to me. In the 8 seasons since their Super Bowl run, the Raiders have won just 6 road games outside the AFC West.
Speaking of flukey, the Seahawks over the Steelers? Even a struggling Steelers team should be able to handle the Seahawks, especially in Pittsburgh.
Is the Rams' season already over? They'll be on the road facing a Giants' squad stinging from a 14-point loss to the Redskins. After that, they've got the Ravens, Packers, Cowboys, and Saints coming up. Especially without Steven Jackson, they could easily have 5 or 6 losses before they play their first division game week 9.
The Cardinals haven't won at the Redskins since 2000. Kevin Kolb still looked pretty green last Sunday, so it seems likely the Cardinals RFK/Landover losing streak will extend past next week.