Friday, December 2, 2011

NFL Q3 Strength of Schedule

APR's strength of schedule (played and unplayed games) for each team, based on the week 12 power rankings. Note that this is not the same as the 'strength of schedule' metric mentioned in the official NFL tie breakers.

As usual, a higher value indicates a tougher schedule, lower values indicate an easier schedule.

RankTeamSOS
unplayed
RankSOS
played
1Browns0.9888230.8836
2Rams0.9737140.8975
3Colts0.9704120.9026
4Chiefs0.9601250.8827
5Panthers0.9344170.8932
6Giants0.9320280.8814
7Lions0.930220.9231
8Bengals0.9300270.8824
9Vikings0.923540.9177
10Chargers0.916370.9142
11Raiders0.9161130.9010
12Bills0.9134180.8929
13Cardinals0.9120310.8705
14Dolphins0.9081200.8874
15Bears0.902880.9131
16Redskins0.9022320.8678
17Falcons0.8988190.8877
18Packers0.8974260.8826
19Broncos0.895490.9070
20Saints0.8894300.8789
21Seahawks0.8878110.9037
22Eagles0.8718160.8936
23Titans0.8696150.8963
24Steelers0.8671100.9062
25Buccaneers0.864110.9439
26Cowboys0.8566290.8803
27Texans0.8521240.8829
28Jaguars0.845950.9167
29Jets0.841660.9164
3049ers0.8406220.8858
31Patriots0.8187210.8871
32Ravens0.817330.9198

Comments:

  • The Giants, Lions, and Bengals are the playoff-contending teams with the most difficult remainint schedule. The Giants have the biggest swing from easiest to hardest.

  • The Ravens, Patriots, 49ers, Jets, and Texans are the contending teams with the easiest remaining schedule. Which may not be the best news for the Ravens, who have not done well on the road against weak teams.

  • APR ranks the Packers' strength-of-schedule for games played as 26th hardest. They have played some teams in the top 10 (Saints, Bears, and Lions), but they've also played a lot of teams in the bottom 10 (Chargers, Vikings, Panthers, and Rams).