Tuesday, December 6, 2011

NFL Week 13 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (7-4)

Packers @ Giants
Ravens @ Browns
Jets @ Redskins
Colts @ Patriots
Rams @ 49ers
Bengals @ Steelers
Lions @ Saints


Chiefs @ Bears
Tyler Palko managed to drive the Chiefs into field goal range, and complete a Hail Mary touchdown pass. For the Bears, Caleb Hanie did not play well at all (133 yards and 3 interceptions), Matt Forte left the game after 5 carries, and it wasn't ever enough to give the Bears defense a lead to protect.
Panthers @ Buccaneers
Josh Johnson actually had an OK game in replacement of Josh Freeman. The good news was he led the Bucs on four first-half scoring drives. The bad news was, they were all field goals, and the Panthers were scoring too, mostly touchdowns. The Buccaneers fell behind early and just didn't have enough to catch back up.
Cowboys @ Cardinals
The Cowboys had 336 yards from scrimmage, but too many of their drives stalled just beyond field goal range. The result was 5 punts, two missed field goals, only 13 points scored, and a tie game at the end of regulation. The Cardinals are not a very good team, but they can be dangerous, especially when games are close late.
Eagles @ Seahawks
Maybe the theme for this whole season should be "attitude matters". At 4-7, the Eagles were probably, but not definitely out of the playoff race. And when Vince Young's first pass from scrimmage was intercepted, I think whatever will the Eagles had to make a game of it was pretty well broken. Even though the game wasn't truly over until a late pick-6, it never seemed like the Eagles were a threat to take the lead.

Split Picks: (APR: 3-2, SRS 5-0, Line 2-3)

Broncos (APR, SRS) @ Vikings (Line)
The interesting thing about this game is not that Tim Tebow and the Broncos knocked off yet another weak sister team. The interesting thing is that the Broncos had more yards passing (202) than rushing (150), and Tebow had a very respectable 10 completions and 2 touchdowns on 15 passing attempts. If he can consistently hit that level of productivity passing, I think Tebow really can be more than a short-term gimmick for the Broncos.
Titans (APR, SRS) @ Bills (Line)
I don't know why the line liked the Bills here. They haven't won a game since October, and with Fred Jackson on IR, that's not likely to change soon. And as long as Chris Johnson is playing well, the Titans are going to be a tough team to beat.
Falcons (Line) @ Texans (APR, SRS)
Looking back on their schedule, the Falcons have played two teams with notably good defenses: the Bears and Texans. Both times they struggled mightily. The Falcons only managed 50 yards rushing, and Matt Ryan had two interceptions and a completion rate well under 50%. T.J. Yates didn't have a great game, but it was better than Matt Ryans', and thanks to the Texans dominating defense, it was enough to get the Texans a win.
Raiders (APR) @ Dolphins (SRS, Line)
I only watched a bit of this game, but from what I saw, the Dolphins walked all over (or, in the case of Reggie Bush's touchdown, right through) the Raiders. The Raiders longest drive before garbage time was just 32 yards. The AFC West will probably belong to the Broncos if this is the best football the Raiders can play right now.
Chargers (SRS, Line) @ Jaguars (APR)
The Chargers played the team with the weakest scoring offense in the league, and not too surprisingly, managed to get a win. It's a mark of how bad that 6-game losing streak was, that APR dropped them below the Jaguars.


APR 10-6110-65-162.6%
SRS 12-4114-61-165.1%
Line 9-7116-60-065.9%