Tuesday, December 13, 2011

NFL Week 14 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (10-3)

Right:
Patriots @ Redskins
Falcons @ Panthers
Saints @ Titans
Colts @ Ravens
Browns @ Steelers
Raiders @ Packers
Vikings @ Lions
Chiefs @ Jets
Bills @ Chargers
Rams @ Seahawks

Wrong:

49ers @ Cardinals
Last week, I wrote that the Cardinals are not a very good team. Now I'm thinking that's not entirely fair. Their defense has really been doing well lately—the Cardinals haven't allowed more than 23 points since late October. And while the Cardinals' offense is often pretty ugly, a solid defensive effort means that they can win with just a handful of big plays, which is what happened Sunday.
Eagles @ Dolphins
I'm not sure what there is to say about this game, except that 1) the Eagles do a lot better when Michael Vick can play, and 2) the Eagles' on-again, off-again defense was on again, at least for this game.
Giants @ Cowboys
Another late lead blown. the Cowboys are 0-4 this year when they give up 27+ points. They've clearly improved over last year, but I wonder if DC Rob Ryan will get fired soon.

Split Picks: (APR: 3-0, SRS 2-1, Line 1-2)

Texans (APR, SRS) @ Bengals (Line)
The Texans' defense continues to carry them forward; a remarkable turn-around for a team that just last year lost again and again because their defense couldn't stop anybody.
Buccaneers (Line) @ Jaguars (APR, SRS)
This was just an implosion by the Buccaneers. A muffed punt, one 62-yard pass completion, a recovered fumble, and a short field off an interception gave the Jaguars 28 points, all in the second quarter. The Jaguars defense was easily able to make that hold for a win.
Bears (SRS) @ Broncos (APR, Line)
For the third time this season, the Broncos faced a struggling team, found an opportunity to tie the game late, and win in overtime. And Tim Tebow continues to improve as a passer—he passed for 200+ yards for just the second time in his career, and completed 20+ passes for the first time. He was also intercepted for just the second time this season. That's easily the lowest interceptions-to-pass-attempts ratio this year of any player that's thrown more than 100 passes.

Totals

Another very nice week for APR. And thanks to another relatively weak showing for the line, SRS is now just a half-game behind.

This
Week
This
Season
%
APR 13-3123-68-164.3%
SRS 12-4126-65-165.9%
Line11-5127-65-066.1%