Sunday, January 1, 2012

Week 17 Power Rankings

RankTeamPower
Index
W-LThis Week
1 (-)Patriots1.0515
(LW × 1.0084)
13-3Won by 28
vs Bills
2 (↑2)Saints1.0485
(LW × 1.0248)
13-3Won by 28
vs Panthers
3 (↓1)49ers1.0407
(LW × 1.0062)
13-3Won by 7
@ Rams
4 (↓1)Packers1.0167
(LW × 0.9917)
15-1Won by 4
vs Lions
5 (-)Steelers1.0033
(LW × 0.9942)
12-4Won by 4
@ Browns
6 (-)Ravens0.9997
(LW × 1.0204)
12-4Won by 8
@ Bengals
7 (↑1)Eagles0.9650
(LW × 1.0186)
8-8Won by 24
vs Redskins
8 (↑1)Seahawks0.9476
(LW × 1.0056)
7-9Lost by 3
@ Cardinals
9 (↓2)Falcons0.9416
(LW × 0.9913)
10-6Won by 21
vs Buccaneers
10 (↑2)Dolphins0.9202
(LW × 1.0070)
6-10Won by 2
vs Jets
11 (↑5)Giants0.9148
(LW × 1.0257)
9-7Won by 17
vs Cowboys
12 (↑3)Cardinals0.9125
(LW × 1.0191)
8-8Won by 3
vs Seahawks
13 (-)Lions0.9123
(LW × 1.0069)
10-6Lost by 4
@ Packers
14 (↓4)Texans0.8969
(LW × 0.9665)
10-6Lost by 1
vs Titans
15 (↓4)Bengals0.8932
(LW × 0.9741)
9-7Lost by 8
vs Ravens
16 (↑3)Chargers0.8818
(LW × 1.0263)
8-8Won by 12
@ Raiders
17 (↓3)Cowboys0.8760
(LW × 0.9731)
8-8Lost by 17
@ Giants
18 (↓1)Jets0.8648
(LW × 1.0010)
8-8Lost by 2
@ Dolphins
19 (↑3)Titans0.8528
(LW × 1.0219)
9-7Won by 1
@ Texans
20 (↑1)Bears0.8457
(LW × 0.9997)
8-8Won by 4
@ Vikings
21 (↓3)Broncos0.8442
(LW × 0.9792)
8-8Lost by 4
vs Chiefs
22 (↓2)Panthers0.8440
(LW × 0.9946)
6-10Lost by 28
@ Saints
23 (↑1)Chiefs0.8352
(LW × 1.0168)
7-9Won by 4
@ Broncos
24 (↑2)Browns0.8190
(LW × 1.0091)
4-12Lost by 4
vs Steelers
25 (↓2)Raiders0.8081
(LW × 0.9820)
8-8Lost by 12
vs Chargers
26 (↓1)Vikings0.8004
(LW × 0.9827)
3-13Lost by 4
vs Bears
27 (-)Jaguars0.7965
(LW × 0.9929)
5-11Won by 6
vs Colts
28 (-)Redskins0.7850
(LW × 0.9955)
5-11Lost by 24
@ Eagles
29 (-)Rams0.7739
(LW × 0.9990)
2-14Lost by 7
vs 49ers
30 (-)Bills0.7704
(LW × 0.9965)
6-10Lost by 28
@ Patriots
31 (-)Colts0.7659
(LW × 1.0139)
2-14Lost by 6
@ Jaguars
32 (-)Buccaneers0.6933
(LW × 0.9804)
4-12Lost by 21
@ Falcons

Comments:

  • The Patriots, Saints, and 49ers are all pretty close together, with a pretty significant gap down to the Packers. APR doesn't take into account resting starters, and so the Packers slip down a bit more on their 3-point home victory.

  • The Patriots get a blow-out win over the Bills, but it can't be a good sign they fell behind 21-0 before they got started scoring. Even early in the game, 21-point deficit is not easy to overcome in the playoffs, even playing at home.

  • The Eagles are the highest-ranked non-playoff team, followed up closely by the Seahawks as the highest ranked team with a losing record.

  • The Broncos are the lowest-ranked playoff team, a position that had been held by the NFC West champion the previous 3 seasons.

  • The Raiders are the lowest-ranked 8-8 team, and the Titans are the lowest-ranked team with a winning record. But with the seasons those teams had, their ranking seems pretty reasonable.