Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 (-) | Patriots | 1.0515 (LW × 1.0084) | 13-3 | Won by 28 vs Bills |
2 (↑2) | Saints | 1.0485 (LW × 1.0248) | 13-3 | Won by 28 vs Panthers |
3 (↓1) | 49ers | 1.0407 (LW × 1.0062) | 13-3 | Won by 7 @ Rams |
4 (↓1) | Packers | 1.0167 (LW × 0.9917) | 15-1 | Won by 4 vs Lions |
5 (-) | Steelers | 1.0033 (LW × 0.9942) | 12-4 | Won by 4 @ Browns |
6 (-) | Ravens | 0.9997 (LW × 1.0204) | 12-4 | Won by 8 @ Bengals |
7 (↑1) | Eagles | 0.9650 (LW × 1.0186) | 8-8 | Won by 24 vs Redskins |
8 (↑1) | Seahawks | 0.9476 (LW × 1.0056) | 7-9 | Lost by 3 @ Cardinals |
9 (↓2) | Falcons | 0.9416 (LW × 0.9913) | 10-6 | Won by 21 vs Buccaneers |
10 (↑2) | Dolphins | 0.9202 (LW × 1.0070) | 6-10 | Won by 2 vs Jets |
11 (↑5) | Giants | 0.9148 (LW × 1.0257) | 9-7 | Won by 17 vs Cowboys |
12 (↑3) | Cardinals | 0.9125 (LW × 1.0191) | 8-8 | Won by 3 vs Seahawks |
13 (-) | Lions | 0.9123 (LW × 1.0069) | 10-6 | Lost by 4 @ Packers |
14 (↓4) | Texans | 0.8969 (LW × 0.9665) | 10-6 | Lost by 1 vs Titans |
15 (↓4) | Bengals | 0.8932 (LW × 0.9741) | 9-7 | Lost by 8 vs Ravens |
16 (↑3) | Chargers | 0.8818 (LW × 1.0263) | 8-8 | Won by 12 @ Raiders |
17 (↓3) | Cowboys | 0.8760 (LW × 0.9731) | 8-8 | Lost by 17 @ Giants |
18 (↓1) | Jets | 0.8648 (LW × 1.0010) | 8-8 | Lost by 2 @ Dolphins |
19 (↑3) | Titans | 0.8528 (LW × 1.0219) | 9-7 | Won by 1 @ Texans |
20 (↑1) | Bears | 0.8457 (LW × 0.9997) | 8-8 | Won by 4 @ Vikings |
21 (↓3) | Broncos | 0.8442 (LW × 0.9792) | 8-8 | Lost by 4 vs Chiefs |
22 (↓2) | Panthers | 0.8440 (LW × 0.9946) | 6-10 | Lost by 28 @ Saints |
23 (↑1) | Chiefs | 0.8352 (LW × 1.0168) | 7-9 | Won by 4 @ Broncos |
24 (↑2) | Browns | 0.8190 (LW × 1.0091) | 4-12 | Lost by 4 vs Steelers |
25 (↓2) | Raiders | 0.8081 (LW × 0.9820) | 8-8 | Lost by 12 vs Chargers |
26 (↓1) | Vikings | 0.8004 (LW × 0.9827) | 3-13 | Lost by 4 vs Bears |
27 (-) | Jaguars | 0.7965 (LW × 0.9929) | 5-11 | Won by 6 vs Colts |
28 (-) | Redskins | 0.7850 (LW × 0.9955) | 5-11 | Lost by 24 @ Eagles |
29 (-) | Rams | 0.7739 (LW × 0.9990) | 2-14 | Lost by 7 vs 49ers |
30 (-) | Bills | 0.7704 (LW × 0.9965) | 6-10 | Lost by 28 @ Patriots |
31 (-) | Colts | 0.7659 (LW × 1.0139) | 2-14 | Lost by 6 @ Jaguars |
32 (-) | Buccaneers | 0.6933 (LW × 0.9804) | 4-12 | Lost by 21 @ Falcons |
Comments:
The Patriots, Saints, and 49ers are all pretty close together, with a pretty significant gap down to the Packers. APR doesn't take into account resting starters, and so the Packers slip down a bit more on their 3-point home victory.
The Patriots get a blow-out win over the Bills, but it can't be a good sign they fell behind 21-0 before they got started scoring. Even early in the game, 21-point deficit is not easy to overcome in the playoffs, even playing at home.
The Eagles are the highest-ranked non-playoff team, followed up closely by the Seahawks as the highest ranked team with a losing record.
The Broncos are the lowest-ranked playoff team, a position that had been held by the NFC West champion the previous 3 seasons.
The Raiders are the lowest-ranked 8-8 team, and the Titans are the lowest-ranked team with a winning record. But with the seasons those teams had, their ranking seems pretty reasonable.