| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers @ Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.4429 | Seahawks δ=19.4 | Seahawks -16 |
| Vikings @ Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.2765 | Cowboys δ=14.7 | Cowboys -10 |
| Saints @ Jets | Saints ρ=1.2627 | Saints* δ=18.9 | Saints -6 |
| Colts @ Texans | Colts ρ=1.2260 | Colts* δ=16.5 | Colts -2½ |
| Steelers @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.2085 | Patriots δ=7.7 | Patriots -6½ |
| Chiefs @ Bills | Chiefs ρ=1.1895 | Chiefs* δ=10.7 | Chiefs -3 |
| Bears @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.1841 | Packers δ=8.7 | Packers -10½ |
| Falcons @ Panthers | Panthers ρ=1.1593 | Panthers δ=11.8 | Panthers -7½ |
| Bengals @ Dolphins | Bengals ρ=1.1428 | Bengals* δ=5.9 | Bengals -3 |
| Chargers @ Redskins | Chargers ρ=1.1173 | Chargers* δ=6.3 | Chargers -1 |
| Titans @ Rams | Titans ρ=1.0549 | Titans* δ=3.9 | Titans -3 |
| Ravens @ Browns | Ravens* ρ=1.0501 | Ravens* δ=3.0 | Ravens -2½ |
| Eagles @ Raiders | Raiders* ρ=1.0203 | Raiders δ=1.9 | Raiders -2½ |
Bye: Jaguars, Cardinals, 49ers, Lions, Giants, Broncos
Comments:
No split picks at all his week!
Earlier, they had the winless Jaguars, now the winless Buccaneers. The Seahawks aren't exactly running the gauntlet on their home schedule this year, are they?
Should the Cowboys be on upset alert? As noted in last week's pick results, they have a pretty bad defense, which means that Adrian Peterson may be looking at one of his best games of the season. Even with the mess they have at quarterback, this could be a game the Vikings could win.
And maybe the Saints should be on upset alert too. The Jets are actually 3-1 at home, and the Saints have had trouble on the road, including a 2-point win at the hapless Bucs coming on a walk-off field goal.
The Chiefs are not going to go 16-0 this year, but with the Bills deciding between Matt Flynn and undrafted rooke Jeff Tuel, it doesn't seem likely this is the week for their first loss.
Unless the Eagles can figure out what's wrong with their offense by Sunday, the Raiders should cover 2½ easily.
