| Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Broncos | 1.0721 (LW × 0.9750) | 9-2 | Lost by 3 @ Patriots |
| 2 (↑2) | Panthers | 1.0662 (LW × 1.0351) | 8-3 | Won by 4 @ Dolphins |
| 3 (↓1) | Saints | 1.0488 (LW × 0.9961) | 9-2 | Won by 4 @ Falcons |
| 4 (↑1) | Seahawks | 1.0484 (LW × 1.0266) | 10-1 | Bye |
| 5 (↑1) | 49ers | 1.0326 (LW × 1.0464) | 7-4 | Won by 21 @ Redskins |
| 6 (↑1) | Patriots | 1.0101 (LW × 1.0276) | 8-3 | Won by 3 vs Broncos |
| 7 (↓4) | Chiefs | 0.9803 (LW × 0.9491) | 9-2 | Lost by 3 vs Chargers |
| 8 (↑5) | Cardinals | 0.9737 (LW × 1.0523) | 7-4 | Won by 29 vs Colts |
| 9 (↓1) | Bengals | 0.9591 (LW × 0.9775) | 7-4 | Bye |
| 10 (↓1) | Cowboys | 0.9547 (LW × 0.9952) | 6-5 | Won by 3 @ Giants |
| 11 (-) | Eagles | 0.9237 (LW × 0.9839) | 6-5 | Bye |
| 12 (↑6) | Chargers | 0.9183 (LW × 1.0256) | 5-6 | Won by 3 @ Chiefs |
| 13 (↑1) | Colts | 0.9104 (LW × 0.9842) | 6-4 | Lost by 29 @ Cardinals |
| 14 (↑7) | Rams | 0.9063 (LW × 1.0580) | 5-6 | Won by 21 vs Bears |
| 15 (↓5) | Lions | 0.9038 (LW × 0.9461) | 6-5 | Lost by 3 vs Buccaneers |
| 16 (-) | Ravens | 0.8912 (LW × 0.9926) | 5-6 | Won by 16 vs Jets |
| 17 (↑3) | Steelers | 0.8833 (LW × 1.0307) | 5-6 | Won by 16 @ Browns |
| 18 (↓1) | Giants | 0.8785 (LW × 0.9790) | 4-7 | Lost by 3 vs Cowboys |
| 19 (↑4) | Titans | 0.8748 (LW × 1.0216) | 5-5 | Won by 4 @ Raiders |
| 20 (↓1) | Dolphins | 0.8731 (LW × 1.0069) | 5-6 | Lost by 4 vs Panthers |
| 21 (↓9) | Bears | 0.8721 (LW × 0.9413) | 6-5 | Lost by 21 @ Rams |
| 22 (↓7) | Packers | 0.8572 (LW × 0.9542) | 5-5-1 | Tied vs Vikings |
| 23 (↑5) | Buccaneers | 0.8503 (LW × 1.0532) | 3-8 | Won by 3 @ Lions |
| 24 (↓2) | Bills | 0.8461 (LW × 0.9879) | 4-7 | Bye |
| 25 (-) | Jets | 0.8152 (LW × 0.9813) | 5-6 | Lost by 16 @ Ravens |
| 26 (↑5) | Falcons | 0.8067 (LW × 1.0334) | 2-9 | Lost by 4 vs Saints |
| 27 (-) | Raiders | 0.8058 (LW × 0.9793) | 4-7 | Lost by 4 vs Titans |
| 28 (↑1) | Vikings | 0.8005 (LW × 0.9965) | 2-8-1 | Tied @ Packers |
| 29 (↓3) | Redskins | 0.7975 (LW × 0.9664) | 3-8 | Lost by 21 vs 49ers |
| 30 (↓6) | Browns | 0.7963 (LW × 0.9380) | 4-7 | Lost by 16 vs Steelers |
| 31 (↓1) | Texans | 0.7667 (LW × 0.9692) | 2-9 | Lost by 7 vs Jaguars |
| 32 (-) | Jaguars | 0.7557 (LW × 1.0595) | 2-9 | Won by 7 @ Texans |
Comments:
You know, when I predicted the Chiefs would probably cover their 5 point spread, I was assuming that their defense wasn't going to give up 41 points. Wow.
Sunday's Vikings-Packers matchup becomes the second game under the new rules where both teams scored in the overtime period (the first happened last year).
A few years ago, I noted the NFL has had a pretty regular rate of about 1 tie game every 5 years. Now we've had two in as many years. Maybe it's a coincidence, but I suspect the new overtime rules (which came into play in Sunday's tie) will result in rate of tie games increasing. We'll see. It may be a relatively small effect, in which case, it could be a while before it becomes clearly apparent.
With the Broncos and Patriots both suffering ugly losses on Sunday, I'm not sure there's a team in the league without at least one glaring flaw. We may have another situation like last year, where a Ravens-like team stumbles into the playoffs, gets on a hot streak, and powers their way to a surprise Super Bowl win.
I reckon you can add the Texans to the list of teams that have given up on the season. It's pretty bad when you can't even score 7 points on the Jaguars.
