Tuesday, November 26, 2013

NFL Week 12 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (4-4-1)


Saints @ Falcons
Panthers @ Dolphins
49ers @ Redskins
Jets @ Ravens


Buccaneers @ Lions
The Bucs QB Mike Glennon (14/21, 247 yards and 2 tds) had a really good day passing, and Matt Stafford (26/46, 297 yards, 3 tds and 4 ints) did not. I said this before, but the Buccaneers are not as bad as their 8-loss record would suggest, and now that Glennon is starting to have some good games, they're really a much tougher team to beat.
Chargers @ Chiefs
The Chiefs held the Chargers to just 10 points in the first half, but then allowed 31 second half points, nearly all coming on sustained drives. Really a stunning breakdown for a team with a defense that had pretty much carried them to a 9-0 record.
Jaguars @ Texans
The Texans and the Raiders are the only teams this season not to score at least 24 points on the Jaguars. The Texans had 7 drives that didn't go 10 yards. At this point, I have to wonder if there's any team in the leage the Texans could beat.
Broncos @ Patriots
The Broncos used turnovers to sprint out to a 17-0 lead. But Peyton Manning (19/36, 150 yards, 2 td and 1 int) had a bad day passing, so when Knowshon Moreno wasn't on the field, their offense pretty much dried up. And when the Patriots stopped turning the ball over, they started scoring points, and the Broncos didn't have enough to hold their lead for 2 quarters and overtime.
Vikings @ Packers (Tie)
Christian ponder threw for 233 yards and a touchdown, Peterson and Gerhart (!) combined for another 237 yards on the ground. Twice the Vikings started a drive inside their own 5 yard line, and twice they drove for a field goal. The Packers have a really bad defense.

Split Picks: (APR 4-1, SRS 2-3, Line 2-3)

Bears (APR, SRS) @ Rams (Line)
The Bears had their troubles on offense (two lost fumbles and an interception), but their real trouble was on defense. The Rams put together 5 drives of at least 69 yards, all ending with scores. With their sputtering offense, the Bears didn't have a chance to keep up.
Cowboys (APR, SRS) @ Giants (Line)
Like I said in the game picks, I think the Giants weren't as good as their 4 game winning streak made them look. The Cowboys nearly managed to screw it up anyway, but they were able to control the ball well enough at the end of the game to kick a winning field goal as time expired.
Titans (APR, SRS) @ Raiders (Line)
Well, a close game featuring a couple of mediocre teams. The normally very reliable Sebastian Janikowski missed a couple of field goals, which as much as anything was the difference in the game.
Steelers (APR) @ Browns (SRS, Line)
A big part of this was that Jason Campbell got knocked out of the game early, and Brandon Weeden continues to look like something other than an NFL quarterback. The Steelers didn't have a great day offensively, but with all the mistakes the Browns made, including a pick 6 and a lost fumble returned deep in their own end, the Steelers had enough for an easy win.
Colts (SRS) @ Caridnals (APR, Line)
The Colts offense really hasn't looked good since Reggie Wayne got hurt, and this game was another good example. The Colts only had one drive longer than 40 yards until deep into garbage time, and Andrew Luck had a pretty miserable day passing. Meanwhile, Carson Palmer seems to be settling into his role as game manager, and the Cardinals are looking less and less like an easy win for their opponents.


Thanks to correctly picking a three road dogs, APR is the only one with a winning record this week.

APR 8- 5-1 90-69-156.9%
SRS 6- 7-1 94-65-159.4%
Line 6- 7-1 96-63-160.7%