Tuesday, December 3, 2013

NFL Week 13 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (9-2)


Patriots @ Texans
Broncos @ Chiefs
Bengals @ Chargers
Giants @ Reskskins
Raiders @ Cowboys
Steelers @ Ravens
Buccaneers @ Panthers
Titans @ Colts
Rams @ 49ers


Jaguars @ Browns
I don't see a lot to say about this game, except the Jaguars are starting to look like an actual football team for the first time all season, and the Browns aren't nearly as good when they have to start Brandon Weeden (2 interceptions and a lost fumble) as their quarterback.
Falcons @ Bills
Another close game between a couple bad teams. One thing that stands out is turnovers. The Falcons are 0-9 when they have a negative turnover margin (take aways - give aways), and 3-0 when they have a 0 or positive turnover margin. The Falcons are still a bad team, but at least when they don't turn the ball over, they've got a chance to beat some of their lesser opponents.

Split Picks: (APR 2-3, SRS 1-4, Line 4-1)

Dolphins (APR, SRS) @ Jets (Line)
Geno Smith was 4/10 for 29 yards and an interception before he was finally benched. Backup Matt Simms (9/18 for 79 yards and an interception) really wasn't much better. The end result was a long, long day for the Jets' offense.
Packers (SRS) @ Lions (APR, Line)
The Packers' offense had an astonishing 6 drives end in negative yardage. The o-line was a disaster, and Matt Flynn didn't seem to have any pocket awareness at all. A very ugly game for a team that was still talking about going to the Super Bowl last week.
Bears (APR, SRS) @ Vikings (Line)
The Bears certainly had their opportunities to win this game, including being gifted a second chance in overtime, when a Vikings field goal was nullified by a face mask penalty. The real problem for the Bears was an inability to score points on a pretty bad Viking devense. They become the first team (which includes the Tolzien/Flynn-lead Packers) not to score at least 23 points on the Vikings.
Cardinals (APR, SRS) @ Eagles (Line)
There's plenty of blame to go around for the Cardinals. An early fumble by Carson Palmer gave the Eagles a short field for their first touchdown. After that, the defense gave up three sustained drives that the Eagles converted into 17 more points. The Cardinals defense actually did a pretty good job stopping the Eagles for most of the second half, but by then the damage was done, and the Cardinals' offense wasn't able to finish their come back.
Saints (APR) @ Seahawks (SRS, Line)
This game went about as I expected, I think. The Saints (like the Seahawks) are much better at home than on the road, and that was demonstrated amply in this game.


A good week for everybody, thanks mostly to a very solid week on the unanimous picks.

APR 11- 5- 101-74-157.7%
SRS 10- 6-1 104-71-159.4%
Line 13- 3-1 109-66-162.2%