| Game | Pythag | Pythag RH | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers @ Buccaneers | Panthers 0.3926 | Panthers 0.1103 | Buccaneers -1 |
| Jaguars @ Eagles | Eagles 0.3904 | Eagles 0.3343 | Eagles -10.5 |
| Packers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 0.3176 | Seahawks 0.4397 | Seahawks -5 |
| Saints @ Falcons | Saints 0.3066 | Falcons* 0.0698 | Saints -2.5 |
| Bengals @ Ravens | Bengals 0.2492 | Ravens* 0.1250 | Ravens -1.5 |
| Titans @ Chiefs | Chiefs 0.2232 | Chiefs 0.1512 | Chiefs -4.5 |
| 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 0.2115 | 49ers 0.1449 | 49ers -5 |
| Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 0.1889 | Patriots 0.1168 | Patriots -4.5 |
| Giants @ Lions | Lions 0.1809 | Lions 0.3540 | Lions -4 |
| Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 0.1723 | Steelers 0.3029 | Steelers -6 |
| Colts @ Broncos | Broncos 0.1403 | Broncos 0.2164 | Broncos -7 |
| Vikings @ Rams | Rams 0.0926 | Rams 0.2938 | Rams -4 |
| R*dskins @ Texans | R*dskins 0.0383 | Texans* 0.0319 | Texans -2.5 |
| Bills @ Bears | Bears 0.0370 | Bears 0.2735 | Bears -6.5 |
| Raiders @ Jets | Jets 0.0273 | Jets 0.2143 | Jets -4.5 |
| Chargers @ Cardinals | Cardinals 0.0159 | Cardinals 0.1990 | Cardinals -3 |
Comments:
So the big question (for me, anyway): can the Packers beat the Seahawks? I think they've got at least a chance, and the new emphasis on hands to the face might help. But they'll be playing with at least one backup guy on the o-line, and who knows what the defense is gonna be like.
The Seahawks schedule looks pretty easy, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them get to 12 or 13 wins again. Which means winning this game might be the Packers only real chance of getting a higher playoff seed than the Seahawks.
Cam Newton has a broken rib, which is presumably at least part of why the Bucs are favored to win. But the Bucs have a new head coach, and Josh McCown (reportedly) as their starting quarterback. Seems like a game that says "stay away".
So, R*dskins or Texans? Both had disasterous seasons last year, and both have new head coaches. But the Texans also have Ryan Fitzpatrick as their starting quarterback, now starting for his fifth team. Maybe home field tilts this the Texans' way, but I think the R*dskins have a solid chance to come away with the upset here.
- Can the Rams win without Sam Bradford? They reportedly have a pretty good defense, and Matt Cassel is not the most amazing quarterback in the league, so I think if they can stop Adrian Peterson on defense, they may not need to score a huge number of points to beat the Vikings.
Other than that, it seems like the line is pretty much assuming things will take up more or less where they left off last year. As usual, it's gonna take a couple of games to have an idea of where things really stand.
