| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars @ Chargers | Chargers ρ=2.0189 | Chargers δ=45.8 | Chargers -13½ |
| Buccaneers @ Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.5603 | Steelers δ=29.2 | Steelers -7 |
| Panthers @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.3517 | Ravens δ=21.8 | Ravens -3 |
| Packers @ Bears | Bears ρ=1.2853 | Bears δ=12.3 | Packers -1 |
| Falcons @ Vikings | Falcons ρ=1.2529 | Falcons* δ=22.9 | Falcons -2½ |
| Lions @ Jets | Lions* ρ=1.2142 | Lions* δ=10.9 | Lions -1 |
| Bills @ Texans | Bills ρ=1.1708 | Bills* δ=10.6 | Texans -3 |
| Dolphins @ Raiders | Dolphins ρ=1.1166 | Dolphins* δ=6.0 | Dolphins -4 |
| Eagles @ 49ers | 49ers* ρ=1.0943 | 49ers δ=7.3 | 49ers -5½ |
| Giants @ Washington | Giants* ρ=1.0514 | Giants* δ=3.5 | Washington -3½ |
| Titans @ Colts | Titans ρ=1.0228 | Titans* δ=0.9 | Colts -7½ |
| Saints @ Cowboys | Saints ρ=1.0017 | Saints* δ=12.4 | Saints -3 |
| Patriots @ Chiefs | Chiefs* ρ=1.0002 | Chiefs* δ=0.8 | Patriots -3½ |
Bye: Cardinals, Bengals, Browns, Broncos, Seahawks, Rams
Comments:
Which team is gonna get a win first, the Jaguars or Buccaneers? The Bucs will play the Adrian Peterson-less Vikings at home and coming off their bye week 8. While the Jaguars... hm, I don't really see a "winnable" game for the Jags on their schedule, honestly. Maybe the Giants in week 13, depending on how their season goes. Either way, it doesn't seem likely it's gonna happen this week.
The Line picks the Packers to win; I'm not sure I would. Certainly it's a winnable game for them if their offense can get going, but that's really only happened for 2 or 3 out of the 12 quarters they've played so far this season.
Everybody likes the 49ers this week, but I kinda feel like they've slipped from last year. I'm not sure they can score 34 points on the Eagles like Washington did last week, so I think their defense is really going need a very solid performance to keep them in this game.
Football Outsiders thinks the 49ers problem is the fact they didn't have Verson Davis on the field. He's listed as "questionable" for Sunday at this writing.
The Line likes the Patriots over the Chiefs, but (as has been noted previously) the Pats haven't been a good road team for several years, and struggled to put away the Raiders at home last week. I think this could easily be the week the Chiefs get back to 500.
Everybody likes the Saints over the Cowboys. But like the Pats, the Saints have not been a good road team, and like the Pats, they struggled to put away an inferior opponent at home last week. I think if the Cowboys can hang onto the ball, this is a very winnable game for them.
