| Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (↑2) | Cardinals | 1.1982 (LW × 0.9842) | 3-0 | Bye |
| 2 (↓1) | Bengals | 1.1847 (LW × 0.9305) | 3-0 | Bye |
| 3 (↓1) | Chargers | 1.1338 (LW × 0.9174) | 3-1 | Won by 19 vs Jaguars |
| 4 (↑1) | Seahawks | 1.1031 (LW × 1.0288) | 2-1 | Bye |
| 5 (↑4) | Broncos | 1.0732 (LW × 1.0917) | 2-1 | Bye |
| 6 (↓2) | Ravens | 1.0279 (LW × 0.9123) | 3-1 | Won by 28 vs Panthers |
| 7 (↑3) | 49ers | 0.9569 (LW × 0.9838) | 2-2 | Won by 5 vs Eagles |
| 8 (↑12) | Colts | 0.9533 (LW × 1.1360) | 2-2 | Won by 24 vs Titans |
| 9 (↑5) | Cowboys | 0.9525 (LW × 1.0538) | 3-1 | Won by 21 vs Saints |
| 10 (↑9) | Giants | 0.9440 (LW × 1.1123) | 2-2 | Won by 31 @ Washington |
| 11 (↑6) | Eagles | 0.9420 (LW × 1.0598) | 3-1 | Lost by 5 @ 49ers |
| 12 (↑4) | Lions | 0.9375 (LW × 1.0537) | 3-1 | Won by 7 @ Jets |
| 13 (↓7) | Bills | 0.9350 (LW × 0.8972) | 2-2 | Lost by 6 @ Texans |
| 14 (↑11) | Packers | 0.9113 (LW × 1.1512) | 2-2 | Won by 21 @ Bears |
| 15 (-) | Texans | 0.9070 (LW × 1.0189) | 3-1 | Won by 6 vs Bills |
| 16 (↑6) | Chiefs | 0.8798 (LW × 1.0743) | 2-2 | Won by 27 vs Patriots |
| 17 (↓9) | Bears | 0.8685 (LW × 0.8535) | 2-2 | Lost by 21 vs Packers |
| 18 (↓7) | Browns | 0.8656 (LW × 0.8960) | 1-2 | Bye |
| 19 (↓12) | Steelers | 0.8516 (LW × 0.8316) | 2-2 | Lost by 3 vs Buccaneers |
| 20 (↓8) | Falcons | 0.8461 (LW × 0.9209) | 2-2 | Lost by 13 @ Vikings |
| 21 (↓3) | Titans | 0.8385 (LW × 0.9769) | 1-3 | Lost by 24 @ Colts |
| 22 (↓1) | Panthers | 0.8216 (LW × 0.9857) | 2-2 | Lost by 28 @ Ravens |
| 23 (↓10) | Saints | 0.8215 (LW × 0.9073) | 1-3 | Lost by 21 @ Cowboys |
| 24 (-) | Washington | 0.7938 (LW × 0.9833) | 1-3 | Lost by 31 vs Giants |
| 25 (↑1) | Vikings | 0.7906 (LW × 1.0781) | 2-2 | Won by 13 vs Falcons |
| 26 (↓3) | Patriots | 0.7714 (LW × 0.9420) | 2-2 | Lost by 27 @ Chiefs |
| 27 (↑1) | Dolphins | 0.7641 (LW × 1.0438) | 2-2 | Won by 24 @ Raiders |
| 28 (↑2) | Buccaneers | 0.7243 (LW × 1.1035) | 1-3 | Won by 3 @ Steelers |
| 29 (-) | Rams | 0.7109 (LW × 1.0814) | 1-2 | Bye |
| 30 (↓3) | Jets | 0.7035 (LW × 0.9601) | 1-3 | Lost by 7 vs Lions |
| 31 (↑1) | Jaguars | 0.6869 (LW × 1.1220) | 0-4 | Lost by 19 @ Chargers |
| 32 (↓1) | Raiders | 0.6130 (LW × 0.9350) | 0-4 | Lost by 24 vs Dolphins |
Comments:
The Cardinals and Bengals in the top spots? Well, they are the only remaining undefeated teams. Looking at the teams below them, I don't see anyone obviously better at this point.
Are the Patriots and Saints really in the bottom 10? They're both 1-3, both struggling to win over lesser teams, and both suffering blow-out losses this week. Maybe things will change as we go on, but based on what they've done so far, it's hard to argue for higher spots in the ranking.
Can the Lions win the NFC North this year? I'm still filing this under "I'll believe it when I see it". They haven't ever won the NFC North, and last won the old NFC Central in 1993. They have what looks to be a relatively easy stretch of games coming up, so they have a chance to build up some wins.
But even if they do, they've had a number of strong starts (most recently last year) only to fade down the stretch.
The Texans are the lowest ranked team with a winning record at #15, although the way they let the Bills hang around on Sunday (and let now 1-3 Washington hang around week 1) I'm not sure I'd put them much higher.
The Browns are the highest ranked team with a losing record at #18. Every one of their games has come right down to the end so they could still easily make something of their season (but it should also be noted that perhaps APR's most notorious problem is a tendancy to overrate teams that have a lot of close losses).
