Tuesday, November 18, 2014

NFL Week 11 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (6-3)


49ers @ Giants
Steelers @ Titans
Bills @ Dolphins
Seahawks @ Chiefs
Raiders @ Chargers
Lions @ Cardinals


Bengals @ Saints
On defense, the Saints just couldn't stop the run, giving up 186 yards on the ground (2nd most all season, and most in a home game). Andy Dalton only threw 22 times, but when he did, he was very effective, posting 220 yards and 3 touchdowns. Pretty much a complete turnaround from his week 10 performance.
On the other side of the ball, the Bengals' defense was somehow able to contain the Saints offense, holding Drew Brees to under 6 yards per passing attempt, and Mark Ingram to under 3 yards a carry. Somehow the Saints were able to sustain 4 relatively long drives, but they chewed up 24 minutes of game time, and only produced 10 points on the scoreboard. It wasn't nearly enough to keep up with the Bengals.
Buccaneers @ Washington
Apparently somebody didn't tell Washington's defense that they should cover Mike Evans, who had 209 yards of the Bucs' 288 yards passing. Couple that with 3 turnovers and 6 sacks, and Washington really never had a chance.
Broncos @ Rams
The Broncos were absolutely stymied by the Rams' defense. CJ Anderson only ran for 29 yards, and while Peyton Manning had 389 yards passing, they were mostly spread out among too many drives to put points on the board.
The Rams didn't have an amazing day on offense either, but they did get into the end zone early, and that along with 5 field goals eventually put the game out of reach.

Split Picks: (APR 4-1, SRS 3-2, Line 2-3)

Thanks to win by three road dogs, a surprisingly bad week of split picks for the Line.

Falcons (SRS) @ Panthers (APR, Line)
A close game between a couple bad teams. The Panthers had one more turnover and two missed field goals, which as much as anything else was the difference in the game.
Texans (APR, SRS) @ Browns (Line)
Like their earlier game against the Jaguars, the Browns' offense just seemed to dry up in this game. For whatever reason, they started Isaiah Crowell at RB, which appears to be a mistake, as he only had 61 yards on 14 carries (and most of that came on one play). Brian Hoyer couldn't pick up the slack. While he had 330 passing yards, he also threw incomplete 30 times, the most single-game incompletions of any team this season.
Patriots (APR, SRS) @ Colts (Line)
The Colts have a bad defense. They are now 0-4 when they give up more than 28 points. The Colts are the only team to give up more than 28 points in at least 4 games and have a winning record (although the 5-5 Texans are close).
Vikings (SRS) @ Bears (APR, Line)
The Bears managed to get their running game back on track, rushing for 138 total yards. Their defense mostly managed to shut down the Vikings (holding them to just 4 drives longer than 16 yards) and so Jay Cutler's 3 touchdown passes were enough to give the Bears their first home win of the season.
Eagles (APR, SRS) @ Packers (Line)
The Eagles have shown a lot of problems this season, and after this game, you can add their pass defense to the list. The Packers put together four long first-half drives, mostly passing the ball, scoring three touchdowns and a field goal. Add in a rare (for the Packers anyway) punt return touchdown, and this game was pretty well over at halftime.


APR 10- 4 92-49-165.1%
SRS 9- 5 89-52-163.0%
Line 8- 6 97-44-168.7%