Monday, November 24, 2014

NFL Week 12 Power Rankings

RankTeamPower
Index
W-LThis Week
1 (-)Patriots1.1055
(LW × 1.0317)
9-2Won by 25
vs Lions
2 (↑1)Broncos1.0362
(LW × 1.0026)
8-3Won by 3
vs Dolphins
3 (↓1)Chiefs1.0249
(LW × 0.9809)
7-4Lost by 4
@ Raiders
4 (-)Cardinals0.9977
(LW × 0.9665)
9-2Lost by 16
@ Seahawks
5 (↑1)Dolphins0.9930
(LW × 1.0171)
6-5Lost by 3
@ Broncos
6 (↓1)Packers0.9881
(LW × 1.0049)
8-3Won by 3
@ Vikings
7 (↑5)Seahawks0.9590
(LW × 1.0407)
7-4Won by 16
vs Cardinals
8 (↓1)Eagles0.9486
(LW × 0.9927)
8-3Won by 19
vs Titans
9 (↑2)Colts0.9427
(LW × 1.0077)
7-4Won by 20
vs Jaguars
10 (↓1)Cowboys0.9349
(LW × 0.9969)
8-3Won by 3
@ Giants
11 (↑4)Ravens0.9262
(LW × 1.0295)
7-4Won by 7
@ Saints
12 (↓4)49ers0.9250
(LW × 0.9806)
7-4Won by 4
vs Washington
13 (↓3)Lions0.9246
(LW × 0.9862)
7-4Lost by 25
@ Patriots
14 (↓1)Chargers0.9196
(LW × 1.0065)
7-4Won by 3
vs Rams
15 (↓1)Bills0.9162
(LW × 1.0093)
6-5Won by 35
vs Jets
16 (↑1)Rams0.8849
(LW × 1.0064)
4-7Lost by 3
@ Chargers
17 (↑1)Steelers0.8838
(LW × 1.0058)
7-4Bye
18 (↑2)Bengals0.8825
(LW × 1.0347)
7-3-1Won by 9
@ Texans
19 (↓3)Texans0.8675
(LW × 0.9728)
5-6Lost by 9
vs Bengals
20 (↑2)Browns0.8470
(LW × 1.0173)
7-4Won by 2
@ Falcons
21 (↓2)Saints0.8414
(LW × 0.9851)
4-7Lost by 7
vs Ravens
22 (↓1)Bears0.8401
(LW × 1.0080)
5-6Won by 8
vs Buccaneers
23 (-)Giants0.8009
(LW × 0.9917)
3-8Lost by 3
vs Cowboys
24 (-)Vikings0.8006
(LW × 1.0051)
4-7Lost by 3
vs Packers
25 (↑3)Raiders0.7962
(LW × 1.0526)
1-10Won by 4
vs Chiefs
26 (↑1)Washington0.7729
(LW × 1.0140)
3-8Lost by 4
@ 49ers
27 (↓2)Jets0.7680
(LW × 0.9915)
2-9Lost by 35
@ Bills
28 (↓2)Falcons0.7644
(LW × 0.9980)
4-7Lost by 2
vs Browns
29 (-)Panthers0.7555
(LW × 1.0086)
3-7-1Bye
30 (-)Buccaneers0.7525
(LW × 1.0059)
2-9Lost by 8
@ Bears
31 (-)Titans0.7184
(LW × 0.9987)
2-9Lost by 19
@ Eagles
32 (-)Jaguars0.7160
(LW × 1.0158)
1-10Lost by 20
@ Colts

Comments:

  • The Patriots are kinda starting to look scary good. This is the same season they struggled to beat the Raiders and Jets, and got clobbered by the Chiefs. But since then, they've had convincing wins against a string of playoff contending teams. If they can go into Lambeau and get another win next week, this really could be the year Brady gets a fourth ring.

  • Let's play "coach the Minnesota Vikings". Here's the scenario: you just scored a touchdown and a 2-point conversion to pull within 3 points. You've got 3:28 and one time out left (plus the two minute warning), so if the Packers have the ball, they probably only need a first down or two to salt away the win.

    Unless you've got one of the best defenses in the league (and maybe even if you do), you have to onside kick here, right? Add in a 15 yard roughing the passer penalty on the 2 point conversion so that you're kicking from the 50 yard line, and an OSK is pretty much a no-brainer.

    Instead, the Vikings kicked deep, the Packers got a couple first downs, and it was kneel-down time. (Also, for the record, the Vikings have a middle-of-the-league defense, and are a little worse against the run than the pass).

  • Somebody needs to tell the Chiefs that no touchdowns to a wide receiver is really not a good thing.

  • The Cardinals are 3-64 (4.5%) since 2000 when scoring less than 14 points. Surprisingly, that's not the worst record for that era. The Chargers (1-36, 2.7%), Saints (1-35, 2.8%), and Vikings (2-46, 4.2%) are all worse.

    The Patriots (8-20, 28.6%) and Steelers (11-33, 25.0%) have the best record in such games during that era.

  • So the answer is yes, the Saints really are gonna lose three in a row at home. something they haven't done since Drew Brees came to town.

  • Wow, that was an ugly game in Detroit. It looked like the Jets were the ones that lost practice time, and had to play a nominal home game hundreds of miles away from their home stadium on short notice.