Tuesday, November 25, 2014

NFL Week 12 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (10-2)


Packers @ Vikings
Cowboys @ Giants
Lions @ Patriots
Titans @ Eagles
Jaguars @ Colts
Buccaneers @ Bears
Rams @ Chargers
Washington @ 49ers
Dolphins @ Broncos
Jets "@" Bills


Chiefs @ Raiders
The Chiefs had a lot of problems in this game, but there's a couple things that really stand out to me. First, on their final scoring drive, they got inside the Raiders' 10 yard line, but couldn't punch it in for a touchdown, instead settling for a field goal and a slim 3 point lead.
The second thing was, after that, the Chiefs' defense desperately needed to get a stop. Instead the Raiders drove 80 yards, and used over 9 minutes of game time to score the go-ahead touchdown, and left the Chiefs 95 seconds to respond. The Chiefs are really not a quick-strike defense, especially with no timeouts left, and they ran out of time before they could respond.
Bengals @ Texans
The Bengals certainly didn't have an amazing day on offense in this game. They had three drives longer than 37 yards, resulting in a touchdown, a field goal, and a turnover on downs.
So the door was certainly open for the Texans to take this one. But Ryan Mallett was not productive passing (throwing for just 189 yards on 45 attempts) and the Texans' running game was unable to make up the difference. The result was two field goals, a punt, and a turnover on downs for the Texans' four best drives.

Split Picks: (APR 2-1, SRS 2-1, Line 1-2)

Cardinals (APR, SRS) @ Seahawks (Line)
The Cardinals' defense really did their job in this game, holding the Seahawks to just 4 field goals until late in the third quarter. If the offense had been even moderately productive, they could've won this game. But the Cardinals' offense only crossed midfield three times, producing a field goal, a missed field goal, and a punt. That's just not gonna win any games. (Unless, I suppose, the field is a muddy mess.)
Browns (APR, SRS) @ Falcons (Line)
The Browns really tried to give this game to the Falcons, but they just wouldn't take it. Brian Hoyer threw a couple late interceptions, but the Falcons were only able to get one field goal out of them. Meanwhile the Falcons couldn't much run the ball, and left the door open for the Browns to drive for a winning field goal at the end of the game.
Ravens (APR, SRS) @ Saints (Line)
After having goal to go early, the Saints couldn't punch the ball in for a touchdown, they couldn't stop the Ravens' running game, and Drew Brees threw his third pick six of the season. All in all you gotta wonder what ever happened to the Saints team people thought were gonna contend for the Super Bowl this year.


A nice week of picks all around, and thanks to a couple road dog wins, the algorithms pick up a game on the Line.

APR 12- 3 104-52-166.6%
SRS 12- 3 101-55-164.6%
Line 11- 4 108-48-169.1%